7/15: Saratoga (Day 3 ~ Diana, Kelso, Sanford)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

As mentioned by Jack Wolf on ATR Wednesday, Pirate a half to National Treasure and looks prepared for debut..

Most Likely: #1 Pirate 4-5 WON ($2.70)
Best Value: #5 Arteta 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Special Element 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sheriff Joe 8-1 4th


2nd: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Iceatude Gate SCR
Next Best: #1 Win for Gold 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Sugar Gray Leonard 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #3 Tommy Gun 8-1 4th


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Like I wouldn't be all over Heavenly Appointed (Point of Entry), the 3/4 sister to Karlovy Vary..

Best Value: #7 Heavenly Appointed 8-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Vanished 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Isola 9-2 9th
Super Add: #10 Epic Miss Justice 10-1 WON ($48.80)


4th: Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 In Italian 2-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Fev Royer 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Whitebeam 5-1 WON ($17.60)


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Always Charming 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Mariachi 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Best Value: #7 G Munning 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Agility 7-2 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 1 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
2: 1-2-6/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x1x5 = $45
All A's: 1x3x3x1x2 = $18
Backup: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-5 in 1st) + 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-5 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-6/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 2-4-5-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x1x5 = $45
Backup: 3x3x2x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Solib 4-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Silver Skillet 7-2 WON ($7.60)
Best Value: #6 Sals Dream Girl 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Snowy Evening 9-2 5th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky read turf sprint without a ton of front end interest.. Playlist the filly to beat, but can Mandy Laderer's Lady Milagro wire? 5-1 an acceptable price..

Best Value: #5 Lady Milagro 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Playlist 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Breeze Easy 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #6 Glitter Up 8-1 4th


8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Island Rose 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Foxy Cara 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Mim 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Neigh Jude SCR


'Must Pay' P5 Grid:

4: 2 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 2-8 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)
6: 2-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36


P4 Grid:

5: 2-8 (A), 4-5-7 (B), - (C)
6: 2-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


9th: Kelso (G3), 4+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Casa Creed 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #6 Filo Di Arianna 5-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Annapolis 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Ice Chocolat 20-1 4th


10th: Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Gold Sweep 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Triple Trea 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Dickens 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Jive 12-1 7th


11th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T

Best Value: #1 Monet Never 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Next Best: #4 Flat Top Box 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #2 Beer Run 2-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Paxsational 30-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 11 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 9 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
11: 1-4 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 9 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
11: 1-2-6-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x4 = $36
All A's: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve