8/12: SAR (4th-11th); CNL (8th-10th; X-C P5)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA/COLONIAL


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Dangerous Ride 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 One Giant Leap Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Kupp 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Ten Cent Town 8-1 WON ($18.20)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Has the makings of an important 2yo heat..

Most Likely: #3 Reynolds Channel 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Deterministic 5-1 WON ($9.10)
Next Best: #1 Eliminate 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Informed Patriot 6-1 4th


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

7-2 on Rivelli's first timer shows proper concern/respect/fear..

Most Likely: #11 Richies Princess 7-2 WON ($5.30)
Next Best: #1a (POE) Foxy Cara 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #9 Mim 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Nolita 5-1 2nd


7th: Galway, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Ouchy type Love Reigns can of course win, but she'll need to improve and at 5-2 you can have her..

Most Likely: #6 Redefined 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Love Appeals 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Beauty of the Sea 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Love Reigns 5-2 7th


SARATOGA 8th: Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (X-C P5, P4, P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

If Rhyme Schemes runs back to Ellis MDN-breaker he'll win, but this appears trickier than it looks. There are 5 speeds lining up, with Lasso the lone exception, and there's no telling who might survive a pace battle. Woodcourt was able to negotiate a diploma from an inside trip at Ellis against a next out Lobo winner and may be the presser best able to adjust to the front end fracas..

Best Value: #3 Woodcourt 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Rhyme Schemes 4-5 WON ($4.10)
Exotics Use: #1 Lasso 15-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Edified 7-2 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 1-11 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x2x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32


P4 Grid:

5: 3 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 1-11 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
7: 4-6 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5-6 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

SAR 8: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)
CNL 8: 5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
SAR 9: 4-6 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
CNL 9: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
CNL 10: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


COLONIAL 8th: Secretariat (G2), 3yo, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Northern Invader 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Nagirroc 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Major Dude 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Gigante 15-1 WON ($47.80)


SARATOGA 9th: Fourstardave (G1), 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Even without a lot of front end speed to chase, Casa Creed remains the one to beat having proven more and more tractable..

Most Likely: #6 Casa Creed 7-5 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Emmanuel 3-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Ice Chocolat 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Anapolis 8-5 2nd


COLONIAL 9th: Beverly D (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-Outer (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Fev Royer 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #3 Romagna Mia 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Rocky Sky SCR
Super Add: #4 Mise En Scene 8-1 4th


COLONIAL 10th: Million (G1), 3+, 10f-Outer (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Never Explain 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Catnip 8-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Win for the Money 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Master Piece 12-1 10th


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gut Feeling 5-1 9th
Best Value: #4 What's Up Doc 8-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cicciobello 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Chileno 12-1 WON ($17.60)


11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #4 Stella Mars 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Waterville 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Solib 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Spinning Colors 8-1 WON ($15.00)


P5 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-6 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-6 (A), 1-5 (B), 2-4 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
10: 1-4 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-4 in 8th) + 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-7 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve