9/2: Saratoga (5th-12th); KY Downs (5th-11th); Del Mar (7th-11th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Prioress (G2), 3yo-F, 6f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Almost all gas signed on. Who can rate a little?

Most Likely: #5 Dazzling Blue 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Alva Starr 2-1 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Jersey Pearl 3-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Stolen Magic 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Walley World 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Zverev 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Agate Road 5-2 WON ($4.10)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 General Partner 4-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #7 Enlighten 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Jefferson Street 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Dive Bomber 7-2 2nd


8th: Harvey Pack, 4+, 5.5f-T (Late P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Tremendous to get a stake named for Harvey. Not much pace on for a turf sprint..

Best Value: #2 Dancing Buck 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Our Shot 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Big Invasion 7-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Thin White Duke 5-1 WON ($20.40)


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

A lot of speed signed on here, including the major players. Feels like an off pace runner has to be the call..

Best Value: #8 Fancy Feline 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Richies Princess 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Sandy's Garden 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Big Bean Christine 10-1 5th


P5 Grid:

5: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-5 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-7 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)
8: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-4 in 8th)


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Internal Capital 9-2 11th
Next Best: #6 I'm Very Busy 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bad to the Bones 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Tallahatchiebridge 8-1 10th


11th: Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Hasn't gotten the attention or credit in lead up, but this is a really good race with plenty of intrigue where prices (Bright Future, Tyson, Warrior Johny) are as likely as the two obvious players (Proxy, Rattle N Roll)..

Best Value: #8 Bright Future 6-1 WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #1 Proxy 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Warrior Johny 20-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Rattle N Roll 9-5 6th


12th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Note that AE's (#13 Mary Katherine/#15 Arisaema) are preferable to the body of the field..

Best Value: #6 Lem Me Drink 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Camcha 2-1 11th
Exotics Use: #3 Dream Road 6-1 WON ($25.60)
Super Add: #7 Stone of Destiny Late SCR


P5 Grid:

8: 2-5 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
12: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-6 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

9: 5-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6-8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
11: 1-8 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
12: 3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-C-A-A): 3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (5-9 in 10th)




KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Gottaneedforspeed 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Do Your Job 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Augustine Red 6-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Thunder Ball 12-1 11th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Dunedin 8-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Good Heart 9-2 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Just Say When 8-1 11th
Super Add: #2 Felix 7-2 4th


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Cigarette Boat 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Mo Saturdays 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Beer Run 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Spanish Doubloon 12-1 9th


8th: Gun Runner, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Escape Artist 10-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Wadsworth 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Talk of the Nation 3-1 WON ($4.74)
Super Add: #3 Gaslight Dancer 15-1 4th


P5 Grid:

5: 7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36


9th: Music City (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Danse Macabre 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Secret Money 5-1 WON ($12.98)
Best Value: #8 American Apple 12-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Mamma's Girl 8-1 10th


10th: Mint Millions (G3), 3+, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Cabo Spirit 15-1 11th
Next Best: #6 Ancient Rome 8-1 WON ($15.32)
Exotics Use: #10 Annapolis 8-5 5th
Super Add: #5 Smokin' T 9-2 3rd


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #12 Sickle Danse 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Riviere 7-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Calm Cool 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Tapitara 15-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-12 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

8: 5-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
9: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
10: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 4-6-7-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (A-C-A-A): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (5-8 in 9th)




DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Del Mar Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Visitant 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Exaulted 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 I'm a Gambler 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Du Jour 4-1 WON ($10.20)


8th: Torry Pines (G3), 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Pink Ace 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Anywho 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Ceiling Crusher 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #7 Ocean Club 8-1 5th


9th: Green Flash (G3), 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Beer Can Man 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Motorious 4-1 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Bran 5-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Lane Way 5-1 5th


10th: Pacific Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Best Value: #11 Skinner 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Defunded 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Arabian Knight 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #7 Slow Down Andy 8-1 3rd


11th: Del Mar H. (G2), 3+, 11f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Planetario 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Cathkin Peak 6-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Gold Phoenix 3-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Win the Day 50-1 9th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 8 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)
10: 5-9-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (A-A-C-A-A): 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
10: 5-9-11 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve