7/12: Saratoga (Day 2; Wilton, Coronation Cup)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chanteuse 6-5 5th
Next Best: #1 Lord I Wonder 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Martingale 9-2 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dillinger 2-1 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #3 Paschal Moon 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Giant's Fire 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Stormquist 5-2 7th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Ownership entry 6-5 4th/5th
Next Best: #4 Passive Management 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Clever Mischief 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Inherent Promise 6-1 2nd


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Cigarette Boat 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Tunisian Spring 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Twenty Six Black 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #1 Inflation Nation 6-1 7th


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$117k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Gangly 7-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Chateau 5-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Saffa's Day 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Funny Joke 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 1-2 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
2: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36


6th: MSW-$, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Auction price restricted group and predictably tough to decipher..

Best Value: #5 Storm the Streets 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Reteko 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Strengthnguidance 3-1 6th
Super Add: #6 King's Leap 10-1 3rd


7th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

What a fun race. Use whomever appeals because this feels like a scrambler..

Best Value: #2 Gilded Cracken 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Leftembehind 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Our Country 8-1 6th
Super Add: #12 Front Man 10-1 5th


P4 Grid:

4: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
6: 2-5-6-8 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
7: 2-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x1x4x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


8th: Wilton-R, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bells Beach 5-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Miss Justify 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #5 Lady Moscato 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Striker Has Dial 3-1 2nd


9th: Coronation Cup, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (DD)

Star of Mystery will SCR for Sunday's G3 v. males opening this up considerably..

Most Likely: #1 Toupie 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Twirling Queen 8-1 WON ($9.40)
Best Value: #7 Kairyu 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ever So Sweet 5-1 7th


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Best Value: #6 Commanche Peak 6-1
Next Best: #1 Torpedo Run 4-1
Exotics Use: #11 Guile 12-1
Super Add: #4 Pujol 15-1


P5 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
6: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x1x3x2 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x1x1x2 = $16
Backup (AAAAAC): 2x2x2x1x1x2 = $16


P5 Grid:

6: 2-5 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)
7: 2-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 2-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-6-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x1x3x5 = $45


Good luck!
Steve