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8/8: Saratoga ~ Day 21 (Morrissey-NY)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #4 Endless Vow 9-2 2nd Next Best: #1 Blakely's Wish 2-1 6th Best Value: #6 Practically Summer 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Trail of Gold 5-1 WON ($9.10) 2nd: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Prospero 4-1 6th Next Best: #3 Legitimize 3-1 WON ($9.50) Exotics Use: #6 Passive Management 7-5 2nd Super Add: #7 Ak Sar Ben Derby SCR 3rd: John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Who can't win this? Most Likely: #6 Looms Boldly 3-1 WON ($7.20) Next Best: #5 Rotknee 8-5 6th Exotics Use: #4 Factually Correct 8-1 2nd 4th: MSW-$, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Eighty West 5-2 WON ($3.90) Next Best: #4 Friday Surprise 7-5 2nd Best Value: #2 Play the Gray 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #8 Strengthandguidance 9-2 6th 5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 11f-Inner (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Aspen Grove 1-1 WON ($3.70) Best Value: #5 Dreaming of Mo 8-1 5th Next Best: #6 Be Your Best 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Avenue Niel 6-1 2nd 6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-OFF (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Those with experience (3-6-7-8) appear more likely than the firsters (1-2-4-5-9).. Best Value: #8 And One More Time 6-1 WON ($5.20) Next Best: #3 Pop Idol 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Moonlight Promises 8-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Flirting With Time 10-1 6th 7th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Difficult start to squirrely P4 with 4 of the 9 dropping in for a tag from MSW company.. Lightly raced types (I'm Thinking, Ascension, Bourbon Serengeti) & the 2 class-rising Linda claims (Street View, The Taco Lady) feel more probable as win candidates than those that have had their chances.. Most Likely: #2 I'm Thinking 5-2 5th Best Value: #1 Street View 8-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Bourbon Serengeti 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #5 Cararra 6-1 WON ($8.50) P4 Grid: 4: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C) 5: 1 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 3-6-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x4 = $32 All A's: 2x1x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 Backup (CAAA): 2x1x4x2 = 16 x .50 = $8 (2-8 in 4th) $1 Pick 4 (1,3/1,8/ALL/5) Paid $18.40 x 4 = $73.60 8th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD) Superb, old fashioned $40k claimer. With a moderate pace anticipated, feels like winner comes from front half of the field.. Most Likely: #1 Nelson Avenue 9-2 5th Best Value: #2 Good Juju 8-1 6th Next Best: #5 Lark's Mischief 5-2 WON ($4.80) Exotics Use: #9 Radical Right 7-2 2nd 9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF (DD) Total scrambler where 7 of the 8 (Queens Dancer the outsider) are separated by a length.. Best Value: #4 Latest Edition 8-1 5th ~ Depaula Play of the Day Next Best: #7 Marco T 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #6 Patria 8-1 8th Super Add: #1 Fancypants Juliana 6-1 WON ($16.80) 10th: OC-S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF Yet another competitive set.. Best Value: #8 Ninja Abarrio 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Sweet Duchess 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Diamond Status Turf SCR Super Add: #7 Sizzle Turf SCR P5 Grid: 6: 8 (A), 3 (B), - (C) 7: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 8: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 7: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C) 8: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 4-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 4-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-09-2024 at 04:56 AM. |