9/21: Churchill Downs (5th-11th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Impossibly muddled group of juvies headed by Covfefe's first foal Rothko who didn't break well in debut. Others with experience look to move forward and then you have firsters from Casse, McPeek & Walsh to deal with. Watch the board for clues kicking off the middle P4..

Best Value: #9 Speechless 5-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Heavenville 9-2 WON ($9.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Ortho Star 12-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Cash the Money 10-1 11th


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Justifreak 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 One Giant Leap 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Pay Zone 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Alder 5-1 4th


7th: Bourbon Flight, 3yo, 9.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Elephant Ear 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Batten Down 6-5 WON ($3.06)
Exotics Use: #5 Real Macho 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Hades 5-2 2nd


8th: Dogwood (G3), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 My Mane Squeeze 5-2 WON ($5.04)
Best Value: #9 Halina's Forte 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Fibber 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Neom Beach 10-1 5th


P4 Grid:

5: 2-5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


9th: Harrods Creek, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Jefferson Street 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Henro 6-1 WON ($13.94)
Next Best: #2 Valentine Candy 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Illuminaire 2-1 4th


10th: Seneca O/N, 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

One of the day's best races..

Best Value: #10 Home Game 15-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Little Jamie 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Neon Icon 8-1 5th
Super Add: #12 Miss Justify 3-1 WON ($4.72)


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Hi-5)

Ooof. Tough end to the sequences..

Most Likely: #2 Pahoehoe d'Oro 6-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Undercover 7-2 WON ($6.72)
Best Value: #7 Captive Heart 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Pretty Pertinent 15-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
11: 2-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (3-5-3-12-11) Paid $220.96


P4 Grid:

8: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
11: 2-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (5-3-12-11) Paid $148.57


Let's get lucky!
Steve