10/23-25: C/O-palooza ~ KEE $301k P5; AQU $124k P6; SA $153k P6

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

$301k P5 C/O starts here..

Tricky start to sequence with class droppers and in-and-outers..

Most Likely: #5 Strava 4-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #7 Huge Bigly 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Underdressed 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 C F V Bullet 8-1 10th


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Quartet of candidates (2-4-6-10) have established form that win this and another five (3-7-8-9-12) are within hailing distance. #5 Pretty Pertinent WON ($54.98) is a 20-1 first time turf filly out of the nice multiple G1 placed Pretty Prolific, but there doesn't seem to be any indication that the lawn will work for her..

Most Likely: #10 Birdwatching 6-5 11th
Next Best: #6 One Front War 6-1 9th
Best Value: #2 High Shot 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 My Brazilian Girl 4-1 3rd


6th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Everland 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Landed 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Intricate 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Neon Icon 5-1 WON ($11.96)


7th: ALW/Cond., 3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Stakes quality turf sprint where Ward (Arrest Me Red) and former Ward (Outadore) figure prominently, but note that Arrest hasn't been too successful over this course..

Best Value: #6 Mischievous Rogue 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Outadore 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Arrest Me Red 7-2 WON ($7.56)
Super Add: #10 Mo Stash 4-1 2nd


8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Hitchcock SCR
Next Best: #4 Touchy 8-5 WON ($3.26)
Exotics Use: #9 Can Do Andrew 15-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Original Sin 7-2 -


$200 Budget P5 Grid (w/ All Used in 4th):

4: 5-7-9-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-5-8 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4x3 = 288 x .50 = $144
All A's: 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
Backup (CAAAA): 4x2x2x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48 (1-4-5-8 in 4th)


$100 & Under Budget P5 Grid:

4: 5-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-10 (C)
5: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup (CAAAA): 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-3-10 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

5: 6-10 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


Let's get lucky!
Steve