11/1-2: Del Mar ~ 41st Breeder's Cup

[Kasept]

41ST BREEDERS' CUP ~ FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Red Flag 8-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 Navy Man 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Skinner 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Dothraki 6-1 6th


2nd: Sen. Ken Maddy, F&M-2+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Stay and Scam 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Just Nails 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Twirling Queen 6-1 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #6 Kissed by Fire 5-2 4th


3rd: CA-Golden St. Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Hot Girl Walk 5-2 6th
Best Value: #9 In the Air Tonight 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tequilaandtherapy 10-1 WON ($24.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Rizzleberry Rose 6-1 5th


4th: TB Aftercare Alliance, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

As good as the Juvy Turf races that come later..

Most Likely: #10 Chasing Liberty 15-1 WON ($15.60)
Best Value: #15 Uncle Dude 20-1 13th
Next Best: #6 Supa Speed 6-1 12th
Exotics Use: #4 Mi Bago 20-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Scipio 8-1 4th


5th: CA-Golden St. Juvenile, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 R Heisman 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Shea Brennan 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 I'm a Bad Boy 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Speedy Wilson 6-1 WON ($10.80)


P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
3: 1-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-8 in 5th)


6th: Breeders' Cup Juvy Turf Sprint (G1), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Ecoro Sieg 7-2 8th
Next Best: #2 Aesterius 9-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Shareholder 12-1 12th
Exotics Use: #3 Big Mojo 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Whistlejacket 5-1 5th


$3 TURF P3 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x2x4 = 16 x $3 = $48


7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, J-Filly/Distaff DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Immersive 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Snowyte 15-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Quickick 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 American Bikini 5-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Scottish Lassie 5-2 4th


P4 Grid:

4: 6-10-15 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-8 (C)
6: 2-8-9 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x1 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-5 in 7th)


8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Lake Victoria 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #7 Thought Process 5-2 9th
Best Value: #9 Kilwin 20-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Vixen 15-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Virgin Colada 20-1 13th


9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (Juvy/Classic DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Top 4 are overwhelmingly likely, but find a use for Ireland-campaigned, American-bred (Quality Road/Lemon Drop Kid mare) first time dirt player Hill Road. Work reports pointing to a big try..

Best Value: #6 Citizen Bull 10-1 WON ($33.80)
Next Best: #1 East Avenue 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Jonathon's Way 9-2 7th
Super Add: #10 Chancer McPatrick 3-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Hill Road 30-1 3rd


10th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, 2yo, 1m-T (Juvy Turf/Turf DBL, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #10 Mentee 15-1 12th
Best Value: #1 Satono Carnaval 20-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Zulu Kingdom 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Dream On 20-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Iron Man Cal 30-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 3-5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AACAA): 2x4x1x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (7 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
10: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Let's get lucky!
Steve