11/30: Churchill Downs (Stars of Tomorrow II)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ STARS OF TOMORROW


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Birkin Girl 15-1 WON ($31.92)
Next Best: #8 Good Conduct 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Take Note of This 5-2 7th
Super Add: #12 Chere Amia 6-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Can't Stop Munnings 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Zat's the One 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Patch Adams 8-5 WON ($3.16)
Super Add: #2 Native Runner 6-1 8th


6th: Ed Brown, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Tough Catch 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Wisconsin Gal 5-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Keep It Easy 3-1 WON ($7.38)
Exotics Use: #2 Glean 7-2 3rd


7th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m (Derby City 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Disco Time 8-5 WON ($3.26)
Best Value: #1 Hedge 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Lil Muggs 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 C K Wonder 12-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Culture War 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Flexible Terms 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Power of Will 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Anegada 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

4: 7-8 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)
5: 5-10 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
6: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-4-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

5: 5-10 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
6: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
8: 6-7-8-10 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1 in 7th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,7,14-16/7/5/3) Paid $79.80


9th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Quietside 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Good Cheer 4-5 WON ($3.32)
Exotics Use: #1 Eclatant 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 My Lil Punky 30-1 7th


10th: Fern Creek, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Impulse Buy 5-2 WON ($6.54)
Next Best: #4 Shisospicy 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Praying 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Echo Sound 2-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-10 (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-4-10 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (7/5/3/3/9) Paid $273.00 (A-A-C-A-A)


11th: KY Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Jonathon's Way 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Tiztastic 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Filoso 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 First Resort 9-2 WON ($14.66)


12th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Burnham Square 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Kalahari Dreams 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 American Promise 9-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Buzz Rocket 10-1 -


P5 Grid:

8: 6-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-10 (C)
9: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 3x3x2x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-4-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-9 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
12: 4-9 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (5-8 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve