2/1: Cross Country P5 (AQU-TAM-OP); Gulfstream/Santa Anita (C2C P5; P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

AQU/TAM/OP CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


Leg A: Tampa 6 (2:51 pm): Endeavor (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Would love to get away with top two, but 'other' Chad Venencia and redirected Ocean Club give pause..

Most Likely: #4 Saffron Moon 5-2
Best Value: #5 Breath Away 6-1
Next Best: #9 Ocean Club 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Venencia 9-2


Leg B: Aqueduct 6 (3:17 pm): Toboggan, 4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Terrific edition of this famed Morris Park standard, humorously inaugurated by John A. Morris in 1890..

Most Likely: #4 Coastal Mission 5-2
Best Value: #5 Runninsonofagun 9-2
Next Best: #2 Full Moon Madness 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Nelson Avenue 9-2


Leg C: Oaklawn 5 (3:29 pm): MDN/OC-$, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Several here have chance, especially because Brother Tony looks like a refusenik..

Most Likely: #7 Bermuda Blitz 5-2
Best Value: #3 Lebombo 10-1
Next Best: #5 Brother Tony 8/5
Exotics Use: #1 Walstib 9-2


Leg D: Oaklawn 6 (4:00 pm): ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Majestic Oops 4-1
Next Best: #6 Xena 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Claret Beret 6-1
Super Add: #4 Lemon Muffin 5-1


Leg E: Tampa 9 (4:23 pm): Tampa Bay (G3), 4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Always harrowing to single in the anchor leg, but given the depth of the earlier legs, relying on Running Bee feels like the logical approach..

Most Likely: #2 Running Bee 8/5
Next Best: #3 Paros 4-1
Best Value: #4 Northern Invader 9-2
Exotics Use: #7 Irish Aces 7-2


P5 Grid:

A: 4-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)
B: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C)
C: 3-7 (A), 1-2-5 (B), - (C)
D: 3-6-10 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
E: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup #1 (CAAAA): 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-9 in Leg A)
Backup #2 (ACAAA): 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-3-6 in Leg B)


Let's get lucky!
Steve