1/24: Santa Anita Carryover

[Kasept]

Outrageous doings at Tampa Tuesday with two races impacted by embarassing non-action by the stewards in incidents involving favorites. The 6th race choice Murphy Style was caught in the gate by the starter when attempting to 'beat the bell', reared and spotted the field 10 lengths. Should have been declared a non-starter...

90 minutes later, 9th race fave Diplomatic Charm broke through the gate TWICE but was allowed to run when he should have been scratched. He finished last. In addition to the wrong-headedness of not scratching Diplomatic Charm at the gate, the seven horses that loaded before the public's betting preference were not backed out and stood for at least 7 minutes in the gate. Wild Inquiry, the #9, had NOT loaded and was given the benefit of beinf able to mingle with an outrider behind the gate the entire time. He ended up the winner.

The choice(s) not to act by the stewards in both cases is tantamount to theivery against the betting public and was an egregious diservice to the trainers and owners of the 7 horses in the 9th who were unfairly stuck in the gate for an unendurable period. This was a pathetic pair of unforgiveable incidents that should prevent gamblers from including Tampa on their wagering schedules...

The above is not a 'sour grapes' gripe either, as the lucrative P3 and P4 results were available to ATRAB listeners on Monday nights broadcast, though tinkering with the written selections at Derby Trail Tuesday morning botched the multi-race plays for readers..

SANTA ANITA CARRYOVER IRRESISTABLE..

Santa Anita's $700,000+ double carryover pot will swell to more than $3,000,000, and the sextet of races is a tricky read. It will likely take "pro player" type investment money to hit this "6", so narrow budget plays may be fool-hardy. One benefit though of looking deeply into a P6 series like this though is the opportunities that can become apparent for individual race plays or a DD/P3/P4 tries... Here's my view..


SELECTIONS -- Santa Anita, R3-8 (P6 Carryover)

.10 Superfectas in ALL races..

3rd: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 5.5f (DD, P3, P6)

1. #12 The Cat Did It 5-2: May grab lead, not look back.. 2nd
2. #5 Me Reyna 5-1: Fast enough and works nice if not just a dirt hater.. 11th
A. #3 Blazen Bunny 8-1: Off since June; wasn't dead on board when seen..WON
B. #7 Heatherdoesntbluff 3-1: Glatt turf filly gets blinks.. 3rd

DEEP P6 CONSIDERATIONS: #9 Alluring Eyes, #10 Mog

$1 Exacta 3-12 $43.30
$1 Trifecta 3-12-7 $148.40


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5-DHT (DD, P3)

1. #6 Red Opal 3-1: Likely a single on many ticks; gets GoGo.. 2nd
2. #11 Evening Escort 8-1: O'Neill-Reddam miss 2/2 last pair this level.. 12th
A. #12 Udriga 4-1: Speed of speed b ut that isn't the style this course.. 6th
B. #3 Mohawk 20-1: Paddy going well, and mare exits pair of rich ALW's.. 5th

DEEP P6 CONSIDERATIONS: #2 Mashina, #8 Moogie WON


5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (DD, P3, P4)

1. #7 Peace Accord 7-2: Wygod gelding makes deadly 2nd start for Sise.. 2nd
2. #4 Bestdressed 5-1: 2nd timer showed O'Neill new trick in gate work 1/15.. 3rd
A. #9 Golada King 10-1: Inscrutable Moon adds Lasix, scratched for here.. 7th
B. #12 Bartok's Busta 5-2: Outposted fave tries 'real' dirt after pair at HOL.. 4th

DEEP P6 CONSIDERATIONS: #6 Charlos, #11 Wage A Kiss


CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, P3)

1. #7 Antifreezette 5-2: Obvious and likely single on tix, but 0/11 trip.. WON
2. #1 In My Life 8-1: Garcia 25% off claim; removes goggles; adds Flores.. 2nd
A. #4 Court Seeker 7-2: Carava mare is win shy but always around money.. 3rd
B. #8 Lady Tara 5-1: Ellis tabs Valdivia (J-T 27%) for returnee 1st off claim (20%).. 8th

$1 EX 7-1 $9.20
$1 TRI 7-1-4 $25.00


4th Tuzla H., $75,000, 1m-T (DD)

1. #4 Charm the Giant 5-1: First of tough pair from McAnally; still moving forward at 5.. DH 2nd
2. #1 Ballado's Thunder 6-1: Becerra bay a reach, but has rail, value, upside.. 6th
A. #3 Dream's 8-1: "Other" McAnally serious threat on runback to SA mile wins last fall.. DH 2nd
B. #8 Singalong 7-2: Gallagher 5yo 8/2-1-2 this course; needs longer?.. WON on DQ

DEEP P6 CONSIDERATIONS: #7 Movie Star, #6 Conveyor's Angel

$1 EX 8-3 $12.80/8-4 $10.50
$1 TRI 8-3-4 $50.40/8-4-3 $48.00


MDN CLM, 4yo, 6.5f

1. #11 Highly Gallant 2-1: Slick Gaines tough at level, with comebackers.. 3rde
2. #10 Turn of Events 20-1: Spawr gelding makes 2nd career start.. at 6!.. 10th
A. #6 Closet Trader 12-1: McAnally Miswaki red drilling well for return.. 4th
B. #8 I Beat the Fire 8-1: Sadler re-boots R/Stag 5yo away 15 months.. 6th

DEEP P6 CONSIDERATIONS: #5 Candyman Who, #7 Phantom Gray


P6 Play/Main ticket (Backup ticket options):

3: 5-12 (3-7)
4: 6-11 (2-3-8-12)
5: 4-7 (6-9-11-12)
6: 1-7 (4)
7: 1-4 (3-7-8-9)
8: 6-11 (5-7-8-10)

2x2x2x2x2x2 = 64 x $2 = $128


P4 Play:

5: 4-7-9-11
6: 1-7
7: 1-4-8-9
8: 6-10-11

4x2x4x3 = $96


Good luck!
Steve