Scav's Only Play of the Weekend

[Scav]

I absolutely LOVE a sequence at Fairgrounds. I have strong opinions on MANY horses in these three races and looking forward to getting back what I have lost in the last two months on only playing TWO tickets.

Race 7: Muniz Turf

This race is all Frankel. His sheet numbers tower of this field except for the monster number that Einstein put up last out, and that was only 14 days ago and had to ship. He is an AUTOMATIC THROWOUT in my opinion as he is rushed into this race after what I am guessing is owner's disappointment. King's Drama is at least 2 lengths faster then anyone in this race and I thought it should set up perfectly for him

Race 8: Oaks

Three horses that I am tossing are Appealing Zophie, Total, and Mistical Plan. MP is along for the ride with Liquidity and isn't fast enough, Total is a PERFECT example of the 0-2=x theory, and it is even screaming more at you showing that she bore out last time, BOUNCE CITY. Appealing Zophie is strong but EVERY TIME she has ran the number she ran last, she reacted badly with a 5pt regression. Get Ready Bertie is moving forward the way you like seeing a horse moving forward and gets A HUGE positive jock switch with Prado. Octave is an auto use for me as Pletcher is red hot, spotted this race. She could be along for the ride with CQ but I doubt it. Obviously can't ignore.

Race 9: LA Derby

All Circular Quay here and here is why. I think you might get some value here with him with Liquidity, Stall's horse, Zanjero, and the other Pletcher. Watching that race I saw JV loaded for bear on the rail and looked like a horse that would have been in front after about 6 jumps if allowed to clear. Still got up for 5th place(this can be argued because their were tiring horses)Less traffic issues in this race, decent pace set up, and Pletcher

Race 7 $45 Pick three 9/3,4/1 $90 (hoping for a $40 per $1 payout)
Race 7 $10 Pick Three 3,7/3,4/1 $40 (hoping for $120 per $1 here)

$130 total