Week 2 NFL

[JJP]

0-0 on season

Buffalo +10----Jauron doesn't always play to win; often plays to keep the game close. He often succeeds in keeping the game close and they've had some narrow defeats in the past year to good teams. Pitt is solid but hard to gauge much from week 1 since that was such a terrible team they were playing. Don't know much about Tomlin other than he came from Minny, who had the best run D in the NFL last year. Good rule of thumb: with 2 defensive minded coaches and a big spread, take the dog.

KC +11 1/2--The last sentence from the last game applies here. This is a relatively low totalled game w/a big spread. Then ask yourself, of this group of offensive players, who are the best two? Rex Grossman, Cedric Benson, Bernard Berrian, Larry Johnson, Tony Gonzalez and Damon Huard. I'm a Bears fan, but the answer to my question is 1) Larry Johnson and 2) Tony Gonzalez. Has this team really fallen off the edge that fast? I think this line is an overreaction. Still not sold on Benson and losing Mike Brown is huge. Bears will win but not cover.

TENN +6 1/2
You probably think I'm crazy but I saw an amazing stat on NFL network: in the last 11 games of 2006 and opening game of 2007, (regular season only) which team has the better record? Tenn has, at 9-3 while Indy is 8-4. Tenn matches up well with them, having beaten them last year. Vince Young does whatever is needed to win and Fisher will have them ready. Taking the divisional home doggie.

Green Bay/NYGiants UNDER 38 1/2
For several years, the perception of Green Bay has been good offense/bad defense. Now, its just the opposite. The offense is miserable; virtually zero running game, but the defense might be the most underrated in the NFL. The 2006 stats are a bit deceptive; as a young D, the Pack D started out poorly but really came on and picked up where they left off in week 1. The Giants D looked awful in week 1 but that was against a far superior offense in Dallas.