10/20: Belmont (Empire Day)

[Kasept]

Hope some caught on air selection of Bel Air Beauty in her annual stakes win at Keeneland yesterday in the Valley View.. Missed the Late P3 but the $18.00+ on the Frank Brothers-Bruce Lunsford miss was OK as she looked perfectly set up for a big try third off the break.

Hard to pass up the NYB Stakes card at Belmont today with weather looking to be better and big mutuels making a yearly visitation on these proceedings..


BELMONT PARK

TURF: SOFT.. Note changes..

1st: 14th Maid of the Mist-NYB, 2yo-F, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #1 Meriweather Jessica 2-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Expect the End 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Anita Rosia 5-1 6th

$1 Exacta (2-1) $8.00


2nd: MSW-NYB, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #10 Alexandros 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #2 Post Exchange 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Dixieland Star 5-1 3rd
Other: #11 Aforementioned 12-1 9th


3rd: 14th Sleepy Hollow-NYB, 2yo, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #1 Be Bullish 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 BIG TRUCK 1-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Giant Moon 3-1 WON
Other: #7 Dazzling Derek 6-1 6th


4th: 29th Iroquois-NYB, F&M-3+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #6 Karakorum Starlet 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Light Tactic 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Ice Cool Kitty 7-2 3rd
Other: #7 Precise Lady 12-1 8th


5th: The Office Miss-NYB, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #6 My Kitty 15-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Karakorum Elektra 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Jesse's Justice 3-1 9th
Super Add: #12 Cagey Girl 10-1 12th

NOTE: Soft going moves #1 Tishmeister into the realm of possibilities.. Add to Super at the least.. 5th


P4 Play:

Main: $3

2: 2
3: 8
4: 5-6-8
5: 1-6-9-10

1x1x3x4 = 12 x $3 = $36


Backup: $1

2: 3-6-8-10-11
3: 8
4: 5-6
5: 1-6-10

5x1x2x3 = $30


6th: 27th Ticonderoga-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, GS, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #7 Latitude Forty 10-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Factual Contender 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 J'Ray 7-2 4th
Super: #3 Rewrite 9-2 WON

$1 Exacta (3-6) $12.80
$1 Trifecta (3-6-8) $86.50
$1 Superfecta (3-6-8-7) $294.50


7th: 30th Hudson-NYB, 3+, 6f (P4)

Best Value: #3 FEROCIOUS FIRES 8-1 WON-on DQ
Most Likely: #1 Stormin Normandy 2-1 2nd-DQ'd from 1st
Exotics Use: #8 Posted 3-1 8th
Other: #5 Gold and Roses 7-2 4th

$1 Exacta (3-1) $16.30


8th: 29th Mohawk-NYB, 3+, 9f-IT (P3)

Best Value: #7 Gimme Credit 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #1 SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Bestowed 12-1 7th
Other: #3 Juror 12-1 9th


9th: 32nd Empire Classic-NYB, 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Who What Win 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Naughty New Yorker 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Indian Hawke 5-2 6th
Other: #4 French Transition 8-1 9th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (.10 Super)

Best Value: #6 Slow Signal 30-1 8th
Most Likely: #8 Tobruk 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Raynick's Fan 7-2 WON
Super: #1 Really Rollicking 15-1 (added due to turf condition..) 11th

$1 Exacta (4-8) $16.80


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3
8: 1-SCR-3-6-7
9: 2-6
10: 1-4-6-8

2x3x2x4 = $48


<$100 P6 Play:

5: 6-9-10
6: 6-7
7: 3
8: 1-SCR-7
9: 2-6
10: 1-4-6-8

3x2x1x1x2x4 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck!
Steve