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Old 10-26-2007, 12:35 AM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,220
Default Who will be burning money?

A look at the favorites and most of them look very vulnerable.....

F/M Sprint: Dream Rush hasn't had to deal with the pace pressure she'll get on Friday. The Prioress was once again arguably the weakest Grade 1 of the year in North America. She already has lost at 3-10 at GP.

Juvenile Turf: With the turf likely on the soft side, Prussian becomes a total unknown and the Euros have to move up. But even with them, one of them (Strike the Deal) is unproven past 6f and another Domestic Fund starts from the dreaded 12 hole.

Dirt Mile--I couldn't bet Discreet Cat with monopoly money. If the horse really was 100%, wouldn't they run in the Classic? This horse has had so much hype he's still overbet, even when he couldn't outfinish Talent Search last out.

Juvenile Fillies- This appears to be one of the strongest chalks; of the favorites, the second most likely to get a win.

Juvenile--War Pass looks like too many others in the past who ran big in the Champagne then came up empty in the Breeders Cup. Its hard to knock his last race but I see him regressing.

F/M TUrf---with the turf on the softer side, Nashobas Key becomes a question mark. Too many others have handled soft turf.

Sprint---Midnight Lute will be favored off the Sar race and probably deserves to be. His best is definitely good enough but he also could easily run a middle of the pack race. 3rd most likely favorite to win.

Mile--who will be favored? I'm guessing either After Market will be scratched or won't be bet heavily. Excellent Art may go off favored but from the 13 hole, why take the short price?

Distaff--I suspect the m/l fave, Indian Vale, will NOT be favored here. The betting figures to be so close from 1st to 5th choice that it doesn't matter who is favored although I believe Lear's Princess should be.

Turf---hard to go against Dylan Thomas here. Probably looking at a legit 4-5 shot.

Classic--Lawyer Ron or Street Sense? I think they'll both go off co-favored. Of the two, I prefer Street Sense.
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