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Old 11-10-2007, 06:11 AM
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Join Date: Jun 2006
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Default Calder, 11-10

not my favorite track, but the weather is supposed to be good, so I'll take a shot.

Race 1: #2 Holiday Blake and #6 Euro Silver Jet both come out of same race, both eligible to improve 2nd out.. #7 Two Double, 1st Wolfson, also can improve 2nd start.

Race 2: #8 Wicked Sweet's last 2 are simply faster than anyone else's...#1 Moonlit Star's last was a toss, can hit the board at a price.. #4 Cat Bin , #7 Perfect Lie can also be used underneath.

Race 3: Most likely winner of the day is #6 Cigar Man, just plain faster than these... use #9 Swift Account, #5 Yes He's Best, and #4 Lunch Club underneath.

Race 4: #5 Silk Ridge, co high-weight, has classic 0-2-X pattern, back to sprinting should run well. Baymeadows invader, #4 High Resolve, comes in off 2 open length wins, no telling how fast she may be. #1 Banga Ridge has a back fig competitive with the rest, nice ML odds.. #6 Permanent Makeup steps up in class, stretches out, but has done nothing wrong. #7 American Asset is dangerous, although coming off a 6pt top, may react.

Race 5: the 2 favorites, #4 Wise Answer, and #6 SmokeN Coal, both come in very fast, but with ?? Smoken Coal debut' with a TG 7, then got Lasix and ran a 1.5!! That number, plus the ship to Calder, could lead to a reaction. Wise Answer ran a TG 3, bounced to a 7, then came right back with a 3. This is a healthy pattern, but the 1st bounce off the 3 is cause for concern. What to do here will be a race-time decision.

Race 6: very speculative as most are making their first turf starts, or returning to turf after running on the dirt. #3 Calico Bay appears to be bred for it, fastest coming in on dirt at distance. #4 Elle Cashareau will probably be favorite due to connections, but needs to move forward (or others to not handle turf) to win. #5 Robbies Gal, showed 2 fast dirt sprints, last 2 have excuses, now stretches out and switches to turf???? #6 Ariel Bright for Wolfson enters a bit slow, but is dangerous.

Race 7: Another tough one... #6 Guapeton comes in off 7 month layoff, was very fast previously.. #1 Finallymadeit, last 4 sprints were very solid... #2 Like Now, who knows what to expect from him.

Race 8: Similar to the 6th with 2 year olds on the turf, #9 Check it Twice is fastest on dirt, turf??? #11 Extreme Frolic has run on turf before, last on dirt was very strong...#3 Jumponthebandwagon, improving with each start, Jump Start colt may appreciate the weeds (Steve-esque statement )

Race 9: Favorite #2 Annabill is solid, but may have distance issue.. #5 Cat Can Do, Zaidie, is another classic 0-2-X, but best runs have come on wet surfaces... #8 Bayou's Lassie makes 2nd start for Clement, she may be better on turf (although 1st 2 dirt sprints at 3 were very fast)..

Race 10: #1 Soldiers Dancer, comes in off 2 pt top, gets weight, possibly getting stuck inside concerns me, but if the price is right...#5 Magic Mecke for Plesa, runs well fresh, fits here.. #6 Touched by Madness, also Plesa, is a bit faster on the dirt, but definitely dangerous here... #8 Jet Propulsion, loves Calder, but seems to be tailing off a bit, and has distance issues.. #10 Revved Up, old timer has had a great year, but the relatively long campaign and outside post may take it's toll.

Race 11: Going with the "Mush" (listen to Gus' spot on yesterday's show for reference).. #1 Imawildandcrazyguy, never had a chance to run last 2 on the turf, switches back to dirt, in light, should be flying down the stretch...#3 Electrify, last 3 very strong, but may react today...#5 Yes He's The Man, pattern is very strong, distance is the major question.. #4 Summer Book, 3rd off layoff, can get a piece.

Race 12: Another very tough race.. #1 Tri to Dance, ran twice on turf earlier this year, has improved alot on dirt since then, if dirt form carries over, should be a square price... #4 Jewel of the Sky, runs well fresh, has some solid back figs...#7 Chrissy's Honor, has nice rest coming in to this, would need to improve to contend, just might be able to...#8 Demurrer, favorite and high-weight is solid, last 2 turf tries were troubled.. #9 Marchesa, #10 American Border, and #12 Silver Honoree all have potential to join the party at the finish line.

Good luck to all, hopefully a quality day of racing and wagering in South Florida!
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