11/29: Fair Grounds (R7-10)

[Kasept]

Any question as to why the P4 is the best bang for your bucks bet in the game was answered Wednesday at Aqueduct. In a series where winners paid $7.90 (3-1; 3rd choice); $5.60 (2-1; favorite ); $16.00 (7-1; 4th choice) and $13.20 (11-2; 3rd choice), a win parley of under $1,200, the Quad came back $7,143.00 for a $2 wager. $7,143.00.

If you are the most basic $1 P4 player and average one $75 per play a day, you can go 0 for 47 and get even on your 48th attempt with an outrageous overlay in the P4 pool like this quartet produced. And obviously over that same period you're liable to hit several more less lucrative '4's'.

What made this one remarkable was the fact that the only quirky winner in the skien was Nick Zito's Thunders Dove in the 8th; a result produced in wire to wire fashion as she found herself alone up front when other early speed candidate Lady Limit entirely missed the break. Deep P4 players may very well have taken the possibility of the winner finding herself controlling the pace into account.

Fair Grounds enters Week 2, and the Late P4 there looks enticing...


FAIR GROUNDS


7th: CLM/N2L, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #8 Professional Grade 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Lambada 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Double Finesse 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Crazy Coyote 5-1 3rd


8th: LA-Bred ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #12 Halo's Bandit 9-2 11th
Most Likely: #7 Pure Bandit 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Kipper's Illusion 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ide's Child 20-1 5th


9th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 GONE OVERBOARD 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Polysheba 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #8 SCR


10th: LA-Bred MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (Super)

Best Value: #4 Kiss My Kriss 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Peteadoris 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Mr. Hunter 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 He's a Slewvescent 8-1 4th


P3/P4 Plays:

7: 2-8-10
8: 7-9-12
9: 5-6
10: 4-10


Good luck!
Steve