12/9: AQU ($51k Carryover)

[Kasept]

Tried a couple of spot plays Saturday and came away with unsatisfying 3rds from Isipingo (Native Diver) and Magic Sunset (LA Champions 11th) while Lavaliere (IL Deb) ran poorly. Wasn't very interested in full Aqueduct card Sunday besides the intriguing Damon Runyon Stake, but carryover and a few potentially live runners piqued the handicapping juices. Struggling for focus and consistancy at the windows last month, but need to work through the travails...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, Super)

Value: #10 SCR
Likely: #7 Tough Negotiations 4-1: Improves post and adds "L"..
Next: #11 Avagardo 5-1
Super: #4 Crafty J.C. 8-1


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, GS)

Value: #2 Gift of Valor 12-1: Nosed for less last; In light under Jermaine..
Likely: #7 Fregatta 9-5: Kinsman red should like 2 turn mile..
Next: #6 Quick and Easy 5-1
Other: #1 Collect the Purse 10-1


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, DD)

Value: #1e Karakorum entry 8-1: J. Jerkens side of entry debuts..
Likely: #8 Sweet Bama Breeze 8-5: Has just missed thrice including stake try last..
Next: #7 Love Co 4-1: Contessa grey goes 2nd out; Gets Ramon..


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3 Super)

Value: #9 Life of Dancer 8-1: Terranova takeover for IEAH adds blinks..
Likely: #6 Mass Charles 5-2: A little too obvious on monster drop..
Next: #2 Stay Inside 6-1: Arboleda 3 of 4 for Dutrow..
Super: (AE) #13 SCR


8th: Damon Runyon S., NYB-2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Small group but a wonderfully compelling race.. Strong pace expected and someone is going to blink..

Value: #2 Alexandros 10-1: Carroll rig put it together last; Gets hot pace to chase..
Likely: #1 Giant Moon 9-5: Schosberg gave time to Fried colt that should love added distance..
Next: #4 Spanky Fischbein 2-1: Pletcher Hook/Ladder, also a rig, has done little wrong in 5 starts..


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Using 1a (POE-Dutrow) Abby Morgan in multis..

Value: #10 Vilify 8-1
Likely: #7 Lady Rizzi 4-1
Next: #5 City Spirit 6-1
Super: #3 Karakorum Sunshine 10-1


P4 play:

6: 8
7: 2-6-9
8: 1-2-4-5
9: 1-3-5-7-10

1x3x4x5 = $60



Good luck!
Steve