12/29: CRC Slam III; SA Late P4

[Kasept]

Strung solid day of tabs together at Big A Friday only to be left empty in the nightcap when missing Lostritto's plausible Home and Away at 31-1 which produced a $4,800 P4 and single P6 winner of $130,000. Tabbing this winner, as ATR contributor and DRF-YouBet host Andy Serling did, was possible utilizing trip capping methods via the visual evidence of race replays.

Home and Away had shown improved form in her third start from a 2 year layoff for 'Uncle Joe' two starts back on the turf at Belmont. In her prior start to Friday, Home and Away had received a dreadful ride from Herb McCauley that could be crossed out. Against this modest group, Home and Away was an include at the least based on her 2005 effort on the Aqueduct Inner and her increasing fitness. When she received a solid setup, Jose Espinoza took full advantage finding every hole necessary and rally up the rail for a memorable score. While I looked at her handicapping the race and thought her not impossible, not watching the replay of her previous start kept her off the ticket and resulted in missing a big opportunity after the 3 early 'gimmees' in the Quad...

Calder and Santa Anita with stakes-laden P4's today; a pair of OK stakes on the penultimate NY card of 2007 and Sweetnorthernsaint returns to action at Turfway in a 6f comebacker being used as a prep for the Sunshine Millions Classic in January.


CALDER RACE COURSE


8th: 25th Chapose Springs H., F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Change Up 4-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Cher Ami 2-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Potra Classica 6-1 6th
Exotics Add: #1a (POE) Running Lass 4-1 3rd


9th: 15th Pete Axthelm, 3yo, 7.5f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #10 Mysterious Pientre 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #11 Sleeping Indian 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pleasant Strike 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Birdbirdistheword 12-1 6th; #9 Buffalo Man 10-1 2nd


10th: 6th Stage Door Betty H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #6 Amazing Speed 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Annabill 3-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Cat Can Do 12-1 6th
Exotics Add: #3 SCR (Double Entered/ALT: #1 Bayou's Lassie 4-1 WON)


11th: 15th Francis Genter (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 7,5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Beautiful Venue 20-1 4th
Most Likely: #1e Live Oak entry 5-1 2nd-DH
Next Best: #8 Rutherienne 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #9 Maddy's Heart 12-1 5th; #6 Silence Dogood 6-1 6th


P4 Play:

8: 3-5
9: 3-10-11 (7-9 for wider coverage)
10: 4-6-10
11: 1-3-8

2x3x3x3 = $54



SANTA ANITA


7th: Cal Breeders Champion, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Cantina's Rose 4-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Spring Awakening 9-5 WON
Next Best: #11 Treadmill 5-1 9th
Exotics Add: #6 Onebadkitty 5-1 2nd


8th: Eddie Logan, 2yo, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Southwest 6-1 8th
Most Likely: #11 Nistle's Crunch 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Spinning Sound 9-2 5th
Exotics Add: #5 SCR


9th: The La Brea (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Fair sex version of Wednesday's Malibu which fell into chaos; Potential here for similar mayhem in wide open affair..

Best Value: #13 Swiss Diva 30-1 5th
Most Likely: #10 Sindy With an S 5-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Dearest Trickski 8-1 WON
Exotics Add: #3 Ashley's Kitty 6-1 6th; #8 Frisk Her 8-1 8th


10th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Hi5)

Best Value: #2 Classy Attraction 20-1 5th
Most Likely: #10 Warren's Sillycat 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 True Suggestion 12-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #11 Almacita 3-1 WON
High 5 Add: #3 Queens Boulevard 4-1


P4 Play:

7: 8
8: 7-11
9: 3-7-8-9-10-13
10: 2-3-7-10-11

1x2x6x5 = $60


Good luck!
Steve