3/19: AQU Selections ($236k C/O)

[Kasept]

Quarter-mill pot to start Aqueduct Carry Wednesday should swell to over 7 figures. Opportunity to review card started on traditionally dark Palm Sunday, though extra time has hardly helped on virtually impossible sequence that is made more difficult with the anticipation of inclement weather. The Ozone Park forecast:

Today: A steady rain this morning. Showers continuing this afternoon. High near 55F. Winds SSE at 15 to 25 mph. 1 to 2 inches of rain expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

Big money ticket will likely be required to bring down this sextet, but let's try to wade through the events...


AQUEDUCT


4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3)

Tough way to start skien with cheapest tag level runners.. Several wheel back quick off good efforts which is actually a frequent play against with $5-10k claimers..

Most Likely: #1a Kong's Revenge 3-1: Either appealling on best (SCR #1).. 3rd
Best Value: #5 Remorse 6-1: Is at least consistant.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Explosive Count 2-1: Required to use; 10yo back quick.. WON
Exotics Add: #10 My Apology 5-1: Arroyo going well; Got freshener.. 10th


5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P3, G/S, Super)

Straightforward two-turner for quarter fillies which drew field of N2L runners that have not shown any quality other than earning diplomas..

Most Likely: #6 E. Judith 6-1: Toss last; Has some speed.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Naima 12-1: Bush miss had it tough in Jan. return.. 7th
Next Best: #1 Charming Mandate 3-1: A. Dutrow first off claim.. 6th
Exotics Add: #9 Chanced 7-2: Scored MDN-breaker with drop last.. 2nd


6th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, DD, Super)

State-bred special weights with variety of knocks and question marks.. Bush's Ambidaxtrous as viable a single as any on card..

Most Likely: #4 Ambidaxtrous 3-1: Bush tabs Pino for in/out red.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Sunset Heights 4-1: Albertrani-Dominguez? 5 of 10.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Gullible Gal 2-1: Distant 2nd last to stake runner today.. WON
Exotics Add: 7 Maria's Muse 5-1: Schosberg miss made lead last out.. 5th


7th: S/HCP, 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Excellent Starter event with well-matched bunch; Cant fault those taking swing with Contessa pair as single..

Most Likely: #2 Mithaal 2-1: Another option for single; SCR #2b.. 8th
Best Value: #1a Fit Faze 10-1: #1 Wood Winner SCR loves wet; Flies late.. 3rd
Next Best: #4 Untopable 9-2: 2nd off break and return was solid.. 2nd
Exotics Add: #7 SCR)


8th: The Andover Way, 3yo-F, 1m-70 (DD)

Doubt 2-1 ML fave from Carlos Martin gets through a half in :48.2 today.. Contessa-Cassidy number Sweet Vendetta improving steadily and ran best race yet in stake last: Looms play and as single for multis..

Most Likely: #4 Sweet Vendetta 5-2: Has come alive with blinks.. WON
Best Value: #6 Blew Me Away 6-1: Scored in slop; Note '1st trainer' #'s.. 4th
Next Best: #2 Serious Vow 2-1: No easy lead today; Playing against.. 3rd
Exotics Add: #5 Violent Behavior 15-1: 3 straight W's; Has upside, value.. 6th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Tough way to finish card with non-descript group of Empire gals.. Will stick with 2 obvious plays for '6' andspread wider in '4'..

Most Likely: #10 Sweet Slam 6-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Vladimira 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Count This Senora 9-2 WON
Exotics Add: #4 Shirley Law 20-1 7th


<$300/<$150 P6 Plays:

4: 1-5-6-10
5: 1-2-3-4-6-9
6: 4 (3-6)
7: 2
8: 4
9: 7-10

4x6x3x1x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288
4x6x1x1x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


P4 Play:

6: 3-4-6-7
7: 1-2-4-9
8: 4
9: 4-7-8-10

4x4x1x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve