Pricing the Derby

[JJP]

We don't know who all will be there, but here's my take on it now:

Big Brown 2-1; hard to argue against his favoritism
Pyro 5-1; the Blue Grass meant nothing. His Risen Star is still the second best prep performance. He also has won over the track.
Gayego 7-1; yes, he SHOULD be bet more than Colonel John because he just may be better on real dirt than synthetic, and he has won w/out going wire to wire.
Colonel John 9-1; think his closing run was aided by the surface; lets see him translate his form to real dirt.
Tale of Ekati 15-1; thought he really benefitted from the pace but he has some of the characteristics needed (good 2YO; now rounding into form).
War Pass 15-1 ran a superior race to Tale of Ekati in the Wood but figures to have considerable pace pressure. Breeding suggests hes a miler
Big Truck, Cool Coal Man and El Gato Mallo 20-1--I think Big Truck is a little intruiging for the tri; Cool Coal Man had a good trip in the FOY but has won over the CD track.
Cowboy Cal, Momba, Z Fortune Dennis of Cork, Atoned 25-1
Adriano, Recapturetheglory, Visionaire 30-1