5/25: Belmont (5th-10th; C/O)

[Kasept]

More or less took Saturday off, but was struck watching the day's races at the continual value in the P4 pools. At Arlington in the late P4, ATR house capper Gus Alonso gave you the three toughest-to-find winners, and the wager brought back $8,666 for $1. The parlay was $2,900. Amazing..

P6 carryovers at Belmont ($56k) and Hollywood ($117k) Sunday.. Like the Belmont series and feel like trying to use 2 singles is the right approach...


BELMONT PARK


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) SCR #1a goes WON
Best Value: #9 Philosophizer 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Lovely Wildcat 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #5 SCR


6th: NYB-ALW/N1x, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Frankel returnee looks like a must-single as a quagmire lies beyond her..

Most Likely: #4 HEATHER'S ANGEL 2-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Lost Without You 12-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Nordberg 4-1 11th
Exotics Add: #9 Twistaway 8-1 10th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #5 Receipt 3-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Grand Advice 7-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Great Thought 5-1 5th
Exotics Add: #9 Lanai 8-1 8th

$1 Pick 3 (1/10/5) Paid $233.50


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 CAN'T REFUSE 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Mondo Diverso 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Russian Sage 8-1 WON
Exotics Add: #9 Posted 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $51.50
$1 Trifecta (7-5-9) Paid $519.50
$1 Pick 3 (10/5/7) Paid $346.50


9th: 58th Vagrancy (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD)

Scratch #1 Bedside Story, but that's not much help in very tricky version of NY standard for sprinting distaffers. Dream Rush working well for return, but new in the game owner has been 'unlucky', and former West Point miss needs to be at her best today. Jerkens has been cleverly working Any Limit up to this, while Dutrow's Looky Yonder turns around quick but is a serious threat on best. Baroness Thatcher was dead game just missing to Intangaroo Derby Day, and even Sangrita, an also ran in previous stakes tries, is hardly impossible here..

Best Value: #4 Any Limit 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Dream Rush 4-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Baroness Thatcher 3-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Eulogize 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Bella Attrice WON
Next Best: #5 Fiddler's Princess 6-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #10 Dance Lesson 20-1 4th

$2 Exacta (7-3) Paid $17.00
$1 Trifecta Box Paid $27.50
$1 Superfecta (7-3-5-10) Paid $386.50


<$250 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6-9
6: 4
7: 4-5-7
8: 5
9: 2-3-4-5-6
10: 3-7

4x1x3x1x5x2 = 120 x $2 = $240


Good luck!
Steve