8/13: Saratoga (Week 3- $55k C/O)

[Kasept]

First half of meet ended Monday with another messy slopfest card featuring 4 off turf events. Next three weeks figure to provide better scenario given the Alabama, Travers and Woodward Saturdays and an increasingly improving weather forecast. Enjoyed a more-than-solid initial 18 days (17 really), and hope you're doing well at the midpoint of this unusual Spa session. Week 3 starts with an excellent quality card and $55,200 carryover that looks very tough. Weather calls fot OK day with slight chance of isolated t-storm. Rain yesterday may move the 2 non-MSW grass races off the turf, but we'll see about that as soon as we get to the track around 7am.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


ALL SCHEDULED GRASS RACES ARE OFF THE TURF


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #5 Weekwee 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 C. T. Phone Home 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Odetta One 12-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $20.50
$1 Trifecta (7-5-6) Paid $84.50


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Celestial Diamond 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Capt. Candyman Can 12-1 WON ($40.80)
Next Best: #4 Laver 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 SCR

$1 Daily Double (7-1) Paid $70.25


3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fearless Vision 2-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Loose Leaf 8-1 WON ($22.00)
Next Best: #2 Extreme Supreme 6-1 3rd

$2 Pick 3 (7-1-4) 3 Correct Paid $584.50
$1 Daily Double (1-4) Paid $206.00


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

OFF THE TURF

1.) #4 Silver Reunion 6-1 WON ($10.80)
2.) #6 Jehan 5-1 3rd
3.) #8 Ain't Love Grand 8-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-8) Paid $16.60
$1 Trifecta (4-8-6) Paid $36.75
$1 Pick 3 (1-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $1,357.50
$1 Daily Double (4-4) Paid $55.25


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

This is some way to open a P6.. Utterly impossible collection of what-not.. Watch board before submitting your play..

Most Likely: #3 Tactical Discovery 5-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Uno Royale 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Who Plays Brahms 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Spina 10-1 WON ($36.60)

$1 Pick 3 (4-4-10) 3 Correct Paid $717.00
$2 Daily Double (4-10) Paid $76.25


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4-6
3: 2-4-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-8-9-10

4x3x1x6 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (1-4-4-10) 4 Correct Paid $11,859.00


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF

1.) #2b Bill Place 12-1 2nd
2.) #14 Take the Bluff 8-1 WON
3.) #5 Role Play 20-1 4th

$1 Exacta (14-2) Paid $10.80
$1 Pick 3 (4-10-14) 3 Correct Paid $407.50
$1 Daily Double (10-14) Paid $109.50


7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Sneakin Up 3-1 6th
Next Best: )#7 Speed Dating 4-1 4th
Best Value: #10 SCR-Late
Super Add: #1e Pletcher entry 7-2 3rd

$1 Consolation Pick 3 (10-14-10) Paid $105.50


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

A Gr. III quality event.. Terrific betting race..

Most Likely: #6 Premium Wine 2-1 WON
Best Value: #1e Badgett entry 8-1 3rd/4th
Next Best: #5 Shone 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2e Levine entry 4-1 6th


9th: 92nd Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Bold Union 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Mani Bhavan 5-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Simplify 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Garden District 3-1 6th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m (Super)

OFF THE TURF

1. #9 Castle Harbour 5-2 7th
2. #4 All the Way Home 12-1 6th
3. #14 Little Wise Guy 5-1 WON

$1 Pick 3 (6-8-14) 3 Correct Paid $60.75


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7-9-10
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 2
10: 1-9-14-15

5x4x1x4 = $80


$250 P6 Play:

5: 3-9
6: 2-14
7: 3-7-9-10
8: 1-6
9: 2
10: 1-4-9-14

2x2x4x2x1x4 = 128 x $2 = $256


Good luck!
Steve