9/10: Belmont ($63k C/O)

[Kasept]

Beautiful Wednesday morning upstate and downstate, and seems like Carryover card at Belmont will come off without track condition issues. Don't know if that will help much though, as sequence is mind-numbingly tough. I'll take a shot, but will not spend a lot of money trying to hit the six...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Some way to kick off sextet.. Inscrutable bunch of bad state-bred maidens..

Most Likely: #2 Rock Key 4-1: Can sit inside stalking trip.. 6th
Best Value: #3 Valid Threat 12-1: Has some tactical speed.. WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #5 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 Western Call 7-2: Prudent include; Seems to try.. 4th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: Moved from Widener Turf to Inner Turf.. Same distance..

Best Value: #2 Tobruk 9-2: Hernandez races into shape; Expect better today.. 9th
Most Likely: #3 Cardinal Hill 3-1: Could end up controling the pace.. 3rd
Next Best: #1 Kettle Two 6-1: Note big effort two back; Saves ground.. WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Dubliner 8-1: Always useful on exotic tix; Back on lawn today.. 6th

$1 Double Paid $66.00


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Impossible race..

Most Likely: #10 Bulstar 7-2: Toner gelding blew break in bow, rallied to be 3rd.. 9th
Best Value: #7 Grantor 15-1: Turnbacker from Hushion/Hill intriguing.. 11th
Next Best: #11 Dr. Decter 5-2: Pricey '06 buy had troubled debut; Note 8-1 price that day.. WON $5.60
Exotics Use: #9 Above All Odds 12-1: Last best v. good group; Chief adds Lasix (21%).. 10th


7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Here's a terrific, fascinating feature with tons of intrigue including entries from Clement, Frankel and McLaughlin..

Most Likely: #7 Rallying Cry 3-1: Godolphin underachiever gets slight class break.. 2nd
Best Value: #3x (POE) Museeb 12-1: KMc Shadwell dangerous as draw in.. 7th
Next Best: #6 Out of Gwedda 8-1: Note SAR try v. Visionaire two back.. 5th
Exotics Use: #2b (POE) Joe Bravo 7-2: Frankel mystery horse won Brazilian TC leg.. 9th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Valiant Humor 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Bobcat Brody 15-1 8th
Next Best: #10 At Attention 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Estimator 8-1 2nd


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Another super tough matchup with a few amazingly bred gals including daughters of Versailles Treaty and Lakeway and sibs of A.P. Arrow/Geri (Venatrix) and Sabellina (Eleni's Hope), as well as Freedom Rings, (from mare that produced Ham Sandwich, On Rye, With Mustard & To Go).. And note MTO's include sibs of Alumni Hall (State Treasure) and Pyro (War Echo)..

Most Likely: #15 State Treasure 4-1
Next Best: #10 Siren Serenade 10-1
Best Value: #14 War Echo 10-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Gozzip Girl 15-1


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3
5: 1-2-3
6: 1-7-9-10-11
7: 7
8: 7
9: 10-14-15

2x3x5x1x1x3 = 90 x $2 = $180


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-7-9-10-11
7: 2-3-6-7
8: 7
9: 10-14-15

6x4x1x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve