10/9: Belmont ($41k C/O)

[Kasept]

Wild afternoon at Belmont Wednesday results in nice $41,000 carryover on a tricky card. I found a way to take three maddening beats in .10 Superfectas as part of the undertaking yesterday, and I'm going to keep working at the dime bet to find the best formula... At $10.00, or so, a throw, it's worthwhile, as the $300, $200 and $100 returns demonstrated Wednesday. Hope you did OK yesterday...


BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Red Cognac 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Speed Dating 6-1 WON ($8.40)
Next Best: #2b (AE-POE) Paraiba 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Synchronicity 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-2) Paid $16.50
$1 Trifecta (7-2-12) Paid $130.50


5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Arroyo entry 3-1 WON/4th ($5.50)
Best Value: #7 Silver Ferrari 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 West Coast Flier 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Final Story 15-1 6th

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $18.30
$1 Trifecta (1-8-7) Paid $109.00


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Smax 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Wicked Rich 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Trusting Heart 6-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Mesa Sunrise 2-1 3rd


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Ms. Freightshaker 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Hollywood Classic 9-5 eth
Best Value #4 Point Me to It 12-1 WON ($18.20)
Super Add: #5 Wild Holly 12-1 6th


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Confusing and utterly wide open affair.. Admit to having no firm feel for how this unfolds..

Most Likely: #10 Tourism 6-1
Best Value: #9 Megadeed 12-1
Next Best: #11 According to Plan 4-1 WON ($11.00)
Super Add: #7 Platinum Plus 15-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (11-7) Paid $94.25


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

We're all probably forced to cover ML favorite #4 Bar City (3-1) in the P6/P4, but I'm against her and would really like to exclude her.. #1 Fairway Drive (5-1) turns back and wheels back in less than a week, and Carlos Martin is far better at that than Linda Rice..

Most Likely: #1 Fairway Drive 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Northern Storm 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Bar City 3-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Karakorum Tornado 10-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-7
5: 1-7
6: 6-9
7: 1-4-8
8: 10-11
9: 1-4

2x2x2x3x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-9
7: 1-4-8
8: 10-11
9: 1-3-4-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve