11/13: Churchill (Late P4)

[Kasept]

Slippery slope Wednesday at Aqueduct. Couldn't get close to the winner of the 7th, and wasn't going to cash the Quad anyway with 'Exotics Add' Chestoria left off the play as well. Hope you did OK Wednesday...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Halton 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Getalong 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Siena Canyon 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Messa Nera 5-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 SCR
Best Value: #6 Thor's Daughter 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Be Golden 5-2 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Interesting feature.. Howard favorite is OK to use, but seems heavily underlaid at 8-5..

Most Likely: #2 Park at Dark 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Diamond Song 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Diverse 8-5 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Kiss the Queen 10-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (9-5) Paid $19.00
$2 Trifecta (9-5-2) Paid $69.40


10th: MDN CLM ($15k), 3+, 6f (Super, Z-5 Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Lopaka Keoni 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Wisconsin Racer 15-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Laura's Jinsky 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Fort Denmark 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-8
8: 1-3-6
9: 2-7
10: 1-7-8-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve