Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 01-08-2009, 07:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/8: Gulfstream (P4); Santa Anita (C/O)

Had all 6 winners somewhere in selections for the Aqueduct Carryover Wednesday, but going 4 of 6 on the $144 play shows why the workable series produced an overlay return of $20,000+. While it wasn't hard to identify likely winners, it was quite a bit more challenging to build a ticket that included them all... My 3rd choice won 4 of the races, while the 2nd choice won the other pair. That wasn't good enough for the sextet, but it was OK for catching nearly a 5-1 return the $240 Late P4 ($54 play after an early scratch in R6). Hope you did well...

Potentially important 3yo ALW's at Gulfstream today (6th/8th), and the P4 is exceedingly tough. $100,000 Santa Anita carryover may be the play... Both below.


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Free Country 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Pressure Point 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Stormallory 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Sincero 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ballast 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Just as Well 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Jamaludin 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Gaelic Storm 20-1 9th


8th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Idol Maker 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 They're Late 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Danger to Society 4-1 WON
Super Add: #5 A. P. Cardinal 6-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $14.30
$1 Trifecta (2-5-8) Paid $115.30
$1 Superfecta (2-5-8-1) Paid $339.70



9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T (Super)

Insane nightcap.. Only 9 or 10 seem capable of winning..

Best Value: #11 Sammy's Toy 12-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Bold Abbott 8-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Aqab 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Rumored Heart 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1
7: 5-6-7
8: 1-2-5-8
9: 1-2-8-9-10-11

1x3x4x6 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Blame the Wine 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Stormy Racer 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tuscan Princess 7-2 5th


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 White Lace Jimmy 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Prince Novetti 10-1
Next Best: #7 Lacotah 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Tavern 6-1 WON


5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Absolutely fascinating race where a case can be made for at least 7 of them.. Brutally tough field to narrow for the '6'..

Most Likely: #7 G's Heavenly Union 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 The Legal Blonde 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Box Office Queen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Dailies 12-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dances With Tigers 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Mud Seat 'n Tears 7-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Good Shot Mally 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ice Lady 9-2 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Unusually Hot 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Linda Lou 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Theodora 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Excitement 12-1 8th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #9 SCR
Most Likely: #4 Busby 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Cold Ruler 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Convenient Memory 9-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #8 El Tajin 6-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 4-5
4: 1-4-7
5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 5
8: 2-4

2x3x4x2x1x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-2-5
7: 5
8: 2-4-6-8

4x3x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-09-2009 at 09:03 AM.
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:47 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.