3/14: AQU; GP; TAM; Magna 5; FG; Rebel; SA

[Kasept]

Simply put, I can't recall a day developing and unfolding with such widespread invitation to wagering action... Plan carefully and budget wisely. It will be a special day for many players. Don't get down if things go against you early. There's too many great chances to win Saturday to lose focus.


AQUEDUCT


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Won Great Classic 9-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Temore 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Baker entry 10-1 6th


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Herald Square 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #3 Bebob 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Greenspirit 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Alexandros 12-1 2nd


7th: NYB-MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Pocket Cowboys 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Big Gavel 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Titletown Tiger 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Brock N Roll 20-1 6th


8th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Miller's Mint 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 B D's Phoenix 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #3 Honour Above Self 10-1 3rd


9th: 17th Cicada (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #5 Love That Dance 5-1 6th
Most Likely: #1 Dream Play 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Daily Star 10-1 4th


10th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #8 Federal Deposit 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Flo's Honor 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 Clonen 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Tony the Terio 6-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-3
6: 1-2-3-7
7: 2-6
8: 6-11
9: 1-2-5
10: 8

2x4x2x2x3x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6
8: 2-3-6-11
9: 1-2-5
10: 2-8-11

3x4x3x2 = $72



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Greatbillsoffire 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Book Says Yes 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Trusting Heart 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Jersey Town 10-1 WON


9th: Palm Beach (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Stormallory 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 El Crespo 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Duke of Homberg 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Lime Rickey 4-1 2nd


10th: Gulfstream Park H. (Gr. II), 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Smooth Air 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Cool Coal Man 2-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Finallymadeit 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Bribon 5-2 4th


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Crazy deep nightcap and note that virtually ANY AND ALL of the AE's would be useable should they drew in..

Most Likely: #8 Chapin Beach 5-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Dr. Smarty Jack 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Reb 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Tizzy 7-2 7th


<$100 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-8
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-4-5-6 $1 P3 Paid $363.10
11: 2-5-8

4x4x4x3 = 192 x .50 = $96



MAGNA 5


POST-SCRATCHES


A) LRL 9th: The Conniver, F&M-3+, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Puskita 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Met a Miner 7-2 7th
Best Value: #9 My Little Pretty 20-1 4th
Super Add: #5 All Giving 3-1 2nd


B) SA 4th: 72nd San Felipe (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f

Note that Racing Sec. Rick Hammerle believes Kelly Leak is DOUBTFUL and Feisty Suances 2nd is a POSSIBLE SCRATCH..

Most Likely: #2 Pioneerof the Nile 2-5 WON
Best Value: #7 New Bay 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Shafted 8-1 5th


C) GP 9th: Palm Beach (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f-T

Most Likely: #2 Stormallory 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 El Crespo 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Duke of Homberg 2-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Lime Rickey 4-1 2nd


D) GG 4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Most Likely: #3 Undeniable Truth 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Kalookan Ghost 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Kings Humor 5-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Carbonite 9-2 WON


E) SA 5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT

Most Likely: #12 Billy Allen 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Prince Atlantis 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Kewen 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 6-1 12th


<$300/<$150/<$75 Magna 5 Plays:

A: 4-5-6-9
B: 2
C: 2-7 [4-5]
D: 3-5 [1-6]
E: 4-9-10-12

4x1x4x4x4 = $284
4x1x2x4x4 = $128
4x1x2x2x4 = $64



TAMPA BAY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 26th Florida Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Rock Candy 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Don't Forget Gil 9-5 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Ameribelle 3-1 2nd


10th: 11th Hillsborough (Gr. III), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Backseat Rhythm 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Mushka 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ballymore Lady 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Communique 4-1 10th


11th: 29th Tampa Bay Derby (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Musket Man 8-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Hello Broadway 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Warrior's Reward 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Bear's Rocket 8-1 6th


12th: 5th Turf Dash, 3+, 5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Chamberlain Bridge 2-1 9th
Best Value: #4 Blind River Fox 15-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Fort Prado 5-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Castles in the Sky 6-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 2-3-6
10: 3-6-7
11: 2-4
12: 2-3-4-6

3x3x2x4 = $72 $1 P4 (3/6-7/9-2-3) Paid $430.10 (x 2 = $860.20)



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES

Note that rain appears impossible to avoid in New Orleans today with Sloppy/Yielding reported now..

5th: Bienville, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Classify 5-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Coy Cat 8-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Lady Chace 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Taletobetold 4-1 5th


6th: FG Oaks (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 RACHEL ALEXANDRA 4-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Four Gifts 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Flying Spur 12-12nd
Super Add: #1 Our Dahlia 10-1 3rd


7th: New Orleans H. (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Honest Man 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Secret Getaway 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dry Martini 6-1 4th
Super Add: Good and Lucky 8-1 11th


8th: Muniz Memorial H. (Gr. II), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

NOTE: #13 Proudinsky (3-1) and the #1 Frostad entry (6-1) won't appreciate softer footing...

Most Likely: #6 Soldier's Dancer 7-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Nownownow 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Corrupt 10-1 14th
Exotics Use: #4 Golden Yank 10-1 9th
Super Add: #9 El Caballo 20-1 2nd


9th: Louisiana Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Superfecta)

Will protect favorites in the multi-race wagers but go against within the race; Grab the overlay of your choice..

Best Value: #1 Free Country 12-1 9th
Most Likely: #5 Flying Pegasus 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Terrain 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Uno Mas 12-1 7th


<$100 .50 P5 Play/<$50 P4 Play:

5: 4-5-7-9
----------
6: 3
7: 2-3-10
8: 4-6-10 (8-9-12)
9: 1-3-5-6-9

P5: 4x1x3x3x5 = 190 x .50 = $95
P4: 1x3x6x5 = 90 x .50 = $45


10th: Kenner, 3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Kodiak Kowboy 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Sok Sok 9-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Ikigai 7-2 8th
Super Add: #3 Greeley's Conquest 6-1 6th


11th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #6 SCR
Best Value: #10 Budget 8-1
Super Add: #1 SCR

OFF THE TURF: 13-14-10/WON


12th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #5 SCR
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 Pacific Tsunami 9-2
Super Add: #11 Proteus 12-1

OFF THE TURF: 13/WON-8-3-9


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-3-5-6-9
10: 1-7
11: 1/SCR-3/SCR-6/SCR-9-10
12: 5/SCR-6/SCR-8

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .5- = $75


<$75 P4 Play (With R11-12 OFF THE TURF Selections ):

9: 1-3-5-6-9
10: 1-7
11: 10-13-14
12: 3-8-9-13

5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60 $1 P4 Paid $410.10



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


10th: 49th Rebel (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #1 Old Fashioned 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 His Greatness 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Captain Cherokee 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Hamazing Destiny 5-1 8th



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Billy Allen 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Prince Atlantis 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Kewen 9-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 6-1 12th


6th: CLM, 4yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Deep Pockets 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Quityerbellyaching 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 High Intellect 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Roar of Eagles 9-2 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Market at Midday 5-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Favoloso 8-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Silent Stalk 7-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Magic Roberta 9-2 2nd


8th: 72nd Santa Margarita (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Life is Sweet 7-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Model 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Santa Terasita 7-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wild Diplomat 9-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Pearl Fisher 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cavanal 6-1 11th
Super Add: #7 Trumpet Player Jay 7-2 6th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #9 So Pink 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Misstrailcityzone 12-1
Next Best: #2 I Swear 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Ivy by the Shore 5-2 2nd
High 5 Play: #1 Telatrish 8-1


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-4-9-10-12
6: 1-2-4-6-8
7: 4
8: 2
9: 5-9
10: 5-9

5x5x1x1x2x2 = 100 x $2. = $200


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4
8: 2-6-7
9: 3-5-7-9
10: 5-9

3x3x4x2 = $72 $1 P4 Paid $152.20


Good luck!
Steve