5/1 (CD): Kentucky Oaks (G1)

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Originally Posted by Handicappy

I know about all the hype with respect to Rachel Alexandra but the last work was way too fast for the trainers liking. I think that was her race. I know about Hard Spun and what he did a couple of years ago coming off a blazing work but I don't think the trainer liked Calvin running her that fast. I think she is vulnerable and am putting Bafferts horse with Flying spur and justwhistledixie for the double. I think the last one is coming into this with just the right rest and should run her best which should do it if RA falters. And I think she will.
As for the derby half of the double, I am still working on it. I do like Pioneer alot with Friesan Fire, Hold Me Back, Mr. Hot Stuff and Desert Party. IWR from everything I have heard is gonna be a handful and I don't like Talamo's inexperience which he put on display in the Gotham. I don't get the hype on Dunkirk. three races, hasn't won a stake, never raced at 2. Too lean for me to put any money on. Chocolate Candy could be at huge odds and his stretch run against a slow pace in the Santa Anita Derby was very impressive. Should be a great show for fans. I'll be at a Derby Party at Belmont.

Hard Spun ran a fantastic race in the derby, I understand where you are coming from but it's hard to not listen to some very knowledgable people that have seen her work so it's tough to be dead set against her at this point. I agree with you about Talamo and his lack of experience, to me he has been a mediocre rider since losing his bug status, if it means anything if Ronnie Franklin can win a derby I'm sure Joe can if he has the best horse.