5/9: Belmont/Hollywood (P4's)

[Kasept]

Another rotten weather day washed Churchill's late races away entirely, and might as well have done the same at Belmont. Off the turf demolished the late quad, though improbable $30 Contessa horse in the 7th, longest number of 5 running, boosted the P4 into a more generous $170.

Back to Belmont today with good Peter Pan the highlight within the $350k guaranteed P4, and glance at Hollywood 4 as well where intriguing LeRoy is the feature.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Cabaret Cowboy 3-1: Away since fall; 2nd in Musket Man's maidenbreaker.. WON
Best Value: #1e Frankel entry 10-1: Both make real dirt debuts here.. 5th/7th
Next Best: #3 Ricoriatoa 6-1: Moves to organic surface and adds hood.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Abu Racer 30-1: Big number gets blinks: 21% W move for Assaf.. 9th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) SCR
Best Value: #7 Captain Backfire 6-1: Circling back to good effort.. 5th
Next Best: #10 Millirock 9-2: Telegraphs intent by recalling Ramon.. 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Come Soon 10-1: DiPrima wheels turf/dirt in 10 days.. 3rd


9th: 56th Peter Pan (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Brave Victory 8-1: Toss poly run; Value if one turn 9f suits.. 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Imperial Council 2-1: Underlay number on bad paddock actor.. 2nd
Next Best: #3 Charitable Man 3-1: Blue Grass ill-advised; Obvious if back to 2yo form..
Exotics Use: #1 Stately Character 15-1: Seems certain to pick up pieces late.. 7th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 SCR
Next Best: #10 John Wyatt 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Monastir 12-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-5-9
8: 1-7-10
9: 3-4-6
10: 3-10

4x3x3x2 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Pretty damn good starter ALW.. After the top pick, it's a grab bag...

Most Likely: #12 Deluxe Cat 3-1 WON
Best Value: #11 My Man Sumo 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Turkish Victory 6-1 9th
Super Add: #2 My King 8-1 7th


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Wild Diplomat 5-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Victory Pete 2-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Indian Sun 6-1 6th


8th: 30th Mervyn Leroy H. (Gr. II), 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Rail Trip 4-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Aggie Engineer 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ball Four 6-1 WON


9th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Hidden Trail 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Egypt 4-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Holladay Road 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Caspian 6-1 7th
High 5 Play: #10 Kumiva 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 10-11-12
7: 5-6
8: ALL
9: 6-8

3x2x6x2 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (12--6-3-8) Paid $811.90


Good luck!
Steve