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Old 05-23-2009, 03:35 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,312
Default 5/23: Belmont; Arlington; Hollywood (P4's); Louisville H.

Outrageous holiday weekend of racing action kicks off the summer season Saturday with deep fields and compelling stakes across the map. Arlington has the intense slate with a stakes quad today, while Belmont, Monmouth and Hollywood all commence three day weekends highlighted by quality features. Churchill, Golden Gate, Calder, Philadelphia and Woodbine all have rich events on at least one of their holiday schedules, and Lone Star will draw their 6 stake (3 graded) Monday overnight today.

As discussed all week on "At the Races", momentum from highly-viewed and loud buzz Preakness has potential to carry over into meat of the sport's calendar, with the low cost appeal of "A Day at the Races", highly marketable to an entertainment-hungry public. Do what you can to take advantage and drag friends with you to the oval this weekend! My P4 looks at NY, Chicago and Los Angeles to get things started... Have a safe, enjoyable Memorial Day Weekend!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Important looking Maiden affair with host of fancy price tags and heritages; Storm Flag Flying's first drop debuts here and Shug told the ATR audience he is progressing nicely though today isn't necessarily the day..

Most Likely: #6 Ishtarry 9-2: $1MM Shadwell DistHum from KMc; Firing bullets.. 9th
Best Value: #10 SCR
Next Best: #11 Intrepid 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Strasbourg 20-1 2nd


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Token Special 4-1 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Wishful Star 3-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Fiona Freud 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Green Harbor 10-1 5th


9th: 51st Sheepshead Bay (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Mushka 4-1: $10 inviting on Mott miss that is competitive again.. 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Criticism 9-5: Albertrani mare has aced 3 of last 4 graded tries.. WON
Next Best: #1 Backseat Rhythm 7-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Venetian Causeway 15-1 6th


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Victorious Leader 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Longing for Malibu 12-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Compliance Officer 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Joey's Chance 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-6-11
8: 1-7
9: 1-3-5
10: 3-5-10

4x2x3x3 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: 72nd Louisville H. (Gr. III), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Gangbuster 10-1: Rested since KEE stake demolition.. 6th
Most Likely: #7 Brass Hat 4-1: Borel can't leave him with too much to do.. WON
Next Best: #8 Spice Route 8-5: That price? 12f with Bridge? No thanks.. 2nd
Super Add: #5 Always First 5-1: Can honor sire Barathea who passed this week.. 7th



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 2 American 1000 Guineas, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Consequence 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Hot Cha Cha 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Afternoon Stroll 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Obsequious 7-2 6th


9th: 73rd Arlington Matron (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Indescribable 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Home's the Best 20-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Kiss With a Twist 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Euphony 6-1 WON

.50 Tri Spot Play: 9-10 with 2-7-9-10 with 2-3-4-7-8-9-10 (2x3x5 = 30 x .50 = $15.00)


10th: 57th Hanshin Cup (Gr. III), 3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stonehouse 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Vacation 5-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Cherokee Artist 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Amazing Results 5-1 4th


11th: 75th Arlington Classic, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Giant Oak, if close to his best, can muscle this group. If you take that approach, load up under him with the big prices as all have a license to run well here... Fascinating wagering opportiunity.

Most Likely: #3 Giant Oak 2-1 WON
Best Value: #8 SCR
Next Best: #10 Proceed Bee 20-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Poltergeist 15-1 9th

.50 Tri Spot Play: 3 with 5-6-10 with ALL (1x3x7 = 21 x .50 = $10.50)


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-7-8
9: 2-7-9-10
10: 1-2-4-5-7-8
11: 3

3x4x6x1 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (5,7/7/5/3) Paid $792.80



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bad Boy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tent 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Scott's Spirit 7-2 5th
Super Add: #13 Kilderry 3-1 2nd


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Valiant Effort 3rd
Next Best: #4 Got Free 5-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Nikki'sgoldensteed 8-1 WON


8th: 58th Milady H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Zenyatta 3-5 WON
Next Best: #7 Life is Sweet 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Champagne Eyes 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Allicansayiswow 20-1 3rd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #6 Dreamalong 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 First Grade 5-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Storm the Church 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Lanai 5-1 5th
High 5 Play: #11 Starzig 8-1 4th

$2 Exact 5 (7-6-1-11-5) Paid $1,635.60


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-7
7: 1-3-4
8: 7-9
9: 1-5-6-7

3x3x2x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (2/1/4,6,8,9/7) Paid $265.30


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-24-2009 at 05:09 AM.
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