6/11: Churchill (6th-9th)

[Kasept]

Belmont P6 was too tough to tame Wednesday producing a $32k Carryover, but aggressive posture in the P4 turned out to be unnecessary. Modestly-priced and logical winners paraded through the sequence with Coal Play's win in the feature, where I tried a single, the difference in the beat. Concept of the 5x3x1x5 play wasn't half bad though, as 15-1 Our Montana Dream was beaten a nostril in the skien starter by 9-2 Lucky Penney. Obviously a $32 horse in a P4 sequence is what you're always looking for. Hope you did OK..

Weather in NY is iffy, so despite the C/O, I'm sticking with the Churchill P4 which looked like fun when I printed PP's Monday.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Wildandfabulous 3-1
Best Value: #6 Future Story 5-1
Next Best: #10 Hitch Your Wagon 6-1
Super Add: #8 Seismic Shift 8-1


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating group... #2 Thiskyhasnolimit is a half to 3yo Ricoriatoa (Smarty Jones) who is 0 for 4 but has been on the board in 3 of those starts... #4 Red Rally is by first crop Reformer Rally (Dynaformer) and a half brother to Premium Tap (!)... #7 Backtalk is a $250k Smarty Jones red out of Apasionata Sonata making him a half to Bsharpsonata... #8 Dublin is the 5th Afleet Alex (0 for 4 so far) to hit the track, and note that Lukas is 12/2-3-2 with firsters since the beginning of the year... #10 Horst is the 6th Bwana Charlie (2 for 5 so far) to hit the track...

Most Likely: #7 Backtalk 6-1
Best Value: #10 Horst 12-1
Next Best: #2 Thiskyhasnolimit 5-1
Super Add: #8 Dublin 15-1


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Inkado 7-2
Best Value: #2 A. U. Miner 5-1
Next Best: #7 Au Moon 5-2
Super Add: #5 Squander 8-1


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #10 Stormin Yank 4-1
Next Best: #12 Malibu Martini 5-1
Exotics Use: #4 Snuck By 6-1
Best Value: #9 Seneca Summer 6-1
High 5 Play: #11 Montalvo 30-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6
7: 2-5-6-7-8-10
8: 2-4
9: 1-4-9-10-11-12

2x6x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve