9/17: Belmont Park ($30k C/O)

[Kasept]

Belmont card played out very much as anticipated Wednesday, proving tricky as can be with series of pricey winners triggering $30k carryover for Thursday. While there was no getting to the bulbous $14,000+ late P4, I was pleased to identify 3 opportunities where good opinions on overlays yielded lucrative results that easily carried the day.

First, 'long look' recommend Pletcher's Whydah went off even higher than the 8-1 ML paying a fat $21.20 in the 5th. And it got better when Toner's include tab La Clouche (15-2) got up second for the $77.25 exacta. Minutes later, Best Value top choice Tinto (24-1) just fell short of getting into the exacta, but tripped a $482.50 tri ($1) with 15-1 surprise winner Smarty Karakorum (Super Add) and even money fave Graceful Afleet (Most Likely) second. Finally in the nightcap, Best Value try Exton, another 24-1 bomber, rallied to just a head shy of a big score, though the $15.80 second money more than covered the W-PL investment on him.

So despite not coming close on the quad, it was a very good day. Hope you did well! Exceedingly hard sequence for the carryover Thursday, so let's try to not give back Wednesday's earnings...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 (POE) Shrimp Dancer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Saver Dude 10-1 12th
Next Best: #10 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Bishop of Nola 3-1 2nd


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Run to Grand Ave. 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Rapide One 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mocha Springs 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Cavello 15-1 4th


6th: CLN, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Swinging Bernie 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Xodo 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Midnite Silver 6-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Right of Way 6-1 8th


7th: NYB-OC/C, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Redefined 9-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Can't Refuse 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Five Towns 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Be Bullish 15-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Fateh Field 4-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Peace Wine 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Charlott Humor 10-1 9th
Super Add: #4 Wall Street Wonder 7-2 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #1 Comeback 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Jazz Hands 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Catch the Bottom 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Frenchonionsoup 3-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-7
5: 3-4-6-9
6: 2-3
7: 6
8: 4-9
9: 1-2-8

2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-6-10
7: 6
8: 4-8-9
9: 1-2-7-8

6x1x3x4 = $72

$1 P4 Pays $183


Good luck!
Steve