9/20: Belmont (C/O); Woodbine (Stakes)

[Kasept]

Favorites and logical horses continue to generally rule at Elmont, as another P4 went right but was dominated by 'Most Likely' winners D' Wildcard (3-1), D' Funnybone (1-2 in the Futurity) and Awesome Maria (7-2 in the Matron). Still got back solid $268.50 thanks to timely arrival at the wire of Rajiv Maragh and Too Amenable in the nightcap at $16.40. The photo result made up for Kaleidoscope Sky's photo loss in the Friday quad opener that was the difference maker in not hitting that sequence.

Overall a nice day at the windows, though Jimmy Jerkens' Lemon Cream Pie disrupted the rolling P3's mid-card. Hope you did well Saturday. That $24 'LDK' upsetter also helped trip a $66k carryover for Sunday at Belmont, and the sequence, featured below, is very challenging... Also, I looked at the National Steeplechase Association's Gr. I Lonesome Glory which serves as Belmont's opener, and the excellent Woodbine stakes as well...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Lonesome Glory Hurdle S. (NSA-Gr. I), 4+, 20f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Isti Bee 12-1 5th
Most Likely: #1a Sermon of Love 2-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Dynaski 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Mixed Up 9-2 7th


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Peterdidit 4-1 10th
Best Value: #3 Pure Cognac 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Military Star 7-5 7th
Super Add: #7 Ranger James 9-2 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Very little to go on at a glance here with nice horseflesh and no major indices..

Best Value: #9 Gathering Cloud 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 3-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Asphalt 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Afleet Alan 12-1 11th


7th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Ruff and Ready 9-2 7th
Most Likely: #1 Adagio 7-5 WON
Next Best: #8 Gaelic Storm 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Raynicks Fan 10-1 9th


8th: Chaldea, 3yo-F, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Legally Blanca 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Strike the Bell 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Exe 20-1 6th


9th: John Hettinger-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

HRace honors the late John Hettinger, a rescuer of the Fasig-Tipton Co. 20 years ago; a particular stalwart of New York racing and breeding; and a tireless campaigner for horse rescue and welfare. He was a man of exceptional drive and character, and racing was greatly diminished by his passing..

Most Likely: #7 Nehantic Cat 6-5 6th
Best Value: #3 Crazy Catlady 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 You Go West Girl 8-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Love Cove 10-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #4 Exhi 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Bwana Brave 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Drosselmeyer 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Systematic Risk 12-1 4th


$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-3-7
6: 1-6-9
7: 1-3
8: 1-2
9: 3-7
10: 4

4x3x2x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 1-3-5-7
10: 4 $1 P3 (2-1-4) Paid $205.50

4x3x4x1 = $48

$1 Pick 4 (1/10/11-2-1-4) Paid $505.00




WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: Canadian (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Forever Together 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Dance to My Tune 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Points of Grace 5-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Much Obliged 6-1 3rd


8th: Northern Dancer (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Marchfield 7-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Just as Well 5-2 WON (2nd-Placed 1st)
Best Value: #5 Marsh Side 6-1 4th (DQ'd from 1st)
Super Add: #7 Cobotown Ron 20-1 7th


10th: Woodbine Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Bribon 5-2: Met Mile star ideally suited for this.. 5th
Next Best: #2 Sterwins 8-1: Too short? Exacta hits in 6/7 on T.O. lawn.. 3rd
Best Value: #4 Field Commission 12-1: Board threat on stretchout; Adds Leparoux.. 6th
Super Add: #6 Daylight Express 30-1: Bahamian owns style/speed/price for exotics.. 10th


Good luck!
Steve