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Old 09-23-2009, 08:10 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 9/23: Belmont Park (6th-9th)

Rolled Saturday's modest $268 P4 score into fun day of Belmont action Sunday that ended with $500 quad and bonus of $200 late P3. You Go West Girl ($12.00) and nightcap single Exhi ($10.40) were a big help in the late multi-race action, but getting 4-1 Legally Blanca to best even money Strike the Bell in the 8th was instrumental to the healthy payoffs. Hope you did well!

The carryover P6 paid nearly $76,000, and though 4 of 6 was an OK try, this was a very approachable jackpot on the kind of budget a lot of us employ. As discussed on ATR Monday, I felt like I had the right understanding of the sequence overall, and needed to use 4 in what was a confusing opening leg for me. And sure enough, 7-1 Wishingonadream, who I had further down my list, took the 5th. While the P3/P4 to end the day more than offset all the afternoon's investments, missing this P6 had a big lost opportunity feel to it. The lesson? Again? DRF Formulator TicketMaker... Stretches the budget and broadens the coverage. Example of the TicketMaker approach is used below on today's P4. It may not be for everyone at first glance, but if you take time to learn its' nuances, it will pay off for you.

DRF TicketMaker: http://www.drf.com/formulator/ticketmaker.html

Belmont to start the week with an interesting late sequence. And note too that the 6 horse stake in the 3rd is a terrific race to watch today which includes Pyro's little sister War Echo, and more nice 3yo fillies going a mile.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Amiga Del Sol 9-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Adriatic Magic 12-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Dream Train 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 We Got Heat 20-1 11th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 SCR
Best Value: #1 Stephen's Even 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Royal Vessel 10-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Bikini 2-1 7th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Godolphin entry 5-2 2nd/3rd
Next Best: #2 Perfect Casting 9-2 WON
Best Value #7 Richland Creek 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 American Cruiser 3-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Best Value: #7 Serela's Song 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Lofty 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Nostalgic 2-1 WON
Super Add: #11 Amber Edge 4-1 4th


<$75 Simple P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-8
7: 1-4-8
8: 1-2
9: 3-5-7

4x2x3x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (1,4/4/2/1,2,3,4,13,14,15,16) Paid $425.00


<$75 TicketMaker System Plays:

1. 1,2 with 1 with 1,8 with 7 $4.00

2. 8,12 with 1 with 1,8 with 7--$4.00
3. 1,2 with 4 with 1,8 with 7--$4.00
4. 1,2 with 1 with 7,9 with 7--$4.00
5 1,2 with 1 with 1,8 with 3,5--$8.00

6. 8,12 with 4 with 1,8 with 7--$4.00
7 8,12 with 1 with 7,9 with 7--$4.00
8. 8,12 with 1 with 1,8 with 3,5--$8.00
9. 1,2 with 4 with 7,9 with 7--$4.00
10. 1,2 with 4 with 1,8 with 3,5--$8.00
11. 1,2 with 1 with 7,9 with 3,5--$8.00

12. 5 with 1 with 1,8 with 7--$2.00
13. 1,2 with 8 with 1,8 with 7--$4.00
14. 1,2 with 1 with 2 with 7--$2.00
15. 1,2 with 1 with 1,8 with 8--$4.00

Total: $72.00


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-23-2009 at 05:32 PM.
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