10/17: Belmont, Calder, Far Hills, Keeneland, Woodbine

[Kasept]

Eclectic day of racing around North America with the premium lawn events at Toronto ($2,000,000 G1 Pattison Canadian International) and Far Hills, NJ ($250,000 G1-NSA Grand National Hurdle Championship). Calder's Festival of the Sun has an All-Stakes P4 and more, while Belmont and Keeneland (Perryville/QE II Challenge Cup) offer their large pool P4's. The one proviso on all the action Saturday is the cool, wet weather that has threatened most of the Northeast corridor all week.


CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: My Dear Girl, 2yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P4, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Winsockie 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Tillie the Tigress 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Joanie's Catch 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #6 Sweetlalabye 5-2 WON


8th: Calder Oaks, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Providanza 2-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Fire Water 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Royal Card 5-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Chary 6-1 WON


9th: In Reality, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #3 Thank You Philippe 4-1 2nd
Most Likely: #6 Jackson Bend 8-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Bim Bam 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Allez Reef 6-1 4th


10th: Calder Derby (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sal the Barber 9-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Quiet Emarati 20-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Grand Cash 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Pound Foolish 12-1 6th


<$25 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-5-6
8: 3-4-6
9: 3-6
10: 3-7

4x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


11th: Spend a Buck (G3), 3+, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Motovato 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #12 Colonial Causeway 8-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mambo Meister 4-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Temo's Dream 6-1 6th



BELMONT PARK


ALL RACES OFF THE TURF (7:45am)


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Theartofcompromise 8-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Top Leader 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Lofty Banner 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 El Borracho 4-1 2nd


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Stormzapper 3-1 6th
Best Value: #10 San Naa 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bohemia Street 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Castle Harbor 12-1 7th


9th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dream Again 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #8 Banking Holiday 5-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Cires 5-1 8th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Best Value: #8 Man Card 15-1 4th
Most Likely: #12 Quiet All American 6-1 8th
Next Best: #3x Don Cavallo 5-1 9th
Super Add: #13 Highveldt Storm 8-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4
8: 6-8-10-13
9: 6-7-8
10: 3-8-12

2x4x3x3 = $72



FAR HILLS


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: Foxbrook Champion Hurdle, 4+, 20f-Nat'l Fences (WPS, Exa, Tri)

Most Likely: #3 Tricky Me 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Terpsichorean 4-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Left Unsaid 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #8 Nationbuilder 8-1 7th


5th: Grand National Hurdle (G1), 4+, 21f-Nat'l Fences (WPS, Exa, Tri)

Best Value: #9 Arcadius 15-1 DNF
Most Likely: #3 Pierrot Lunaire 9-5 5th
Next Best: #4 Three Carat 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Sweet Shani 8-1 7th



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 11th Perryville (G3), 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Warrior's Reward 6-5 6th
Best Value: #7 His Greatness 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 El Brujo 5-2 WON
Super Add: #6 Not for Silver 3-1 2nd


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Cast Call 3-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Star Recruit 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Elarose 8-1 8th
Super Add: #12 Connie and Michael 12-1 WON


9th:26th Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Gozzip Girl 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Hot Cha Cha 8-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Miss World 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Lady Shakespeare 6-1 5th


10th: MSW, 3+, 9f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1e Darley entry 7-2 WON/5th
Best Value: #3 Spell 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Wild Entry 3-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Tizzam 8-1 4th
High 5 Play: #2 Capriva Pass 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-3-7
8: 4-7-10-12
9: 3-4
10: 1-2-3-6-7-10

3x4x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

.50 CENT Pick 4 (1-12-3-1) Paid $1,156.10



WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: 37th Nearctic (G2), 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Jungle Wave 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Field Commission 12-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Legal Move 20-1 10th
Super Add: #7 Chamberlain Bridge 4-1 7th


9th: 54th E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Treat Gently 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #2 Rainbow View 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Look Here 3-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Salve Germania 6-1 5th


10th: 72nd Pattison Canadian International (G1), 3+, 12f-T (Super)

Best Value: #3 Quijano 6-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 Marsh Side 7-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Just as Well 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Jukebox Jury 5-2 2nd


11th: ON-MSW, 3+, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #2 Last Century 15-1 13th
Most Likely: #5 Simply Bold 3-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Trail Bay 4-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Northern Shore 15-1 4th


@$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-11
9: 1-2
10: 3-4-5-6-7
11: 2-5-7-9

2x2x5x4 = $80


Good luck!
Steve