10/25: Keeneland ($254k C/O); Belmont (Closing Day P4)

[Kasept]

Keeneland P6 pool continues to overflow after $29, $32 and $48 winners derailed tickets, resulting in Sunday's $254,603 jackpot. The good news on the day was pointing out Rahystrada ($32 as Race 8 Best Value 2nd choice) and Satans Quick Chick ($48.80 as Raven Run Best Value 2nd choice) who combined for a $218 Double; a $781 P3 with 7th race top tab Heart Butte; and a $982 P3 with nightcap High 5 Player Striking Dancer. I had Striking Dancer just off the $72 3x4x3x4 .50 P4 ticket, but those that may have smartly included McPeek's runoff winner received a $3,036 payoff. Hope you did well!


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Richland Creek 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Cape San Blas 8-1 WON
Next Best: #7 King of Speed 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 U D Ghetto 12-1 9th


5th: CLM, F*M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Aronia 7-2 3rd-DH
Best Value: #1 Star Over Malibu 10-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Salty Wave 5-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Daguerreotype 6-1 11th


6th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Very difficult group to decipher..

Most Likely: #1 Medjool 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 My Happiness 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Quite a Handful 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Jacks Again 5-1 6th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Donna Getyourgun 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 La Gran Bailadora 12-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Baby Sister 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Aregulationhottie 10-1 6th


8th: 18th Dowager (L), F&M-3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Winter View 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Black Mamba 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Caprice 8-1 4th
Super Add: #9 SCR


9th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #11 Runway West 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #2 Hot Escapade 5-2 WON
Next Best: #10 Shanes Gold 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Devil Approved It 7-2 3rd
High 5 Play: #6 Pound the Rock 15-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-7-8-10
5: 1-3-11
6: 1-5
7: 6-11
8: 1-11
9: 11

4x3x2x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-5-6
7: 1-6-7-9-11
8: 1-2-11
9: 2-11

5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75

$0.50 Pick 4 Paid $88.50



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: The Vision, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Compelled to play against 3-1 ML fave #9 Krypton who will be looking to go coast to coast..

Most Likely: #5 Dean's Kitten 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Shrimp Dancer 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Imaging 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mr. Vegas 10-1 8th

$1 Exacta (5-3) Paid $29.25
$1 Trifecta (5-3-7) Paid $346.00


7th: 29th Ticonderoga-NYB, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Familiar competitors line up here in what is always an insanely well-matched group..

Most Likely: #5 You Go West Girl 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Love Cove 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Nehantic Cat 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Chestoria 4-1 4th

$1 Exacta (5-7) Paid $57.50
$1 Trifecta (5-7-4) Paid $163.00
$1 Daily Double (5-5) Paid $51.00
$1 Superfecta (5-7-4-2) Paid $388.00


8th: The Wings of Jove, 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Magic Appeal 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Female Drama 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Simply Spiteful 7-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $10.10
$1 Trifecta (3-1-7) Paid $31.50


9th: 31st Mohawk-NYB, 3+, 9f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Banrock 7-5 WON
Best Value: #12 My Man Lars 12-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Hangingbyathread 8-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Pennington 7-2 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5-7-8-9
7: 2-4-5-7
8: 1
9: 1-10-12

6x4x1x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve