Zenyatta

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by tector

Zenyatta is now likely to be more horribly overbet than even before. So I learned that you must try to beat her or sit out the race. I actually sat out the Ladies Classic today, which preserved my gigantic $3 profit (thanks, She Be Wild). (Actually I had a casino Twin Q alive into the 9th race--it started with the 5th--but could only get one of my horses in the final half).

Damn BC also distracted me from betting the Ack Ack at CD--my 10-1 choice won, naturally.

No matter how good Zenyatta is, and she is way better than the 97's beyer has been giving her, you must bet against her in this race, its pure mathematics. She is going to be overbet from what I can see (I was sure wrong on how smart the public is) and her chances of winning are no where near 33% or so.