11/19: Churchill (7th-10th)

[Kasept]

Happy I passed on the Hollywood carryover, which chalked out for a $750 payout. Instead, the Aqueduct and Churchill P4's were taken down for decent enough returns of $230 and $214 respectively ($443.40) on $132 invested. Hope you did well! Card in NY is good, but rainy weather is likely in the afternoon so Churchill is the sole focus.


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Heavenly Chorus 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Gruenwald 6-1 WON ($37.60)
Next Best: #1 Badger Barry 4-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Stormin Yank 6-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Aregulationhottie 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Elusive Jozi 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Nothing Wild 8-1 WON ($54.80)
Super Add: #7 Quiet by Seven 10-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $106.10
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $550.10


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 War Echo 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #7 Alice's Smart 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Color Me Up 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Irish Ridge 3-1 3rd


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Joyous 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tempo Approved 4-1 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #4 Merciful 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Stormie Gray 4-1 5th
High 5 Play: #9 She's From Queens 6-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-6-7
8: 1-2-4-5-6-7
9: 1-7
10: 1-2-4

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/1/1,4/1) Paid $735.40


Good luck!
Steve