11/27: Aqueduct (7-10); Churchill (9-12)

[Kasept]

Hope everyone enjoyed Thanksgiving and did OK if they were able to play. 12-1 surprise package Cherokee Country from Ramon Preciado in the Fall Highweight, sent Big A P4 into the stratosphere with successful negotiation topping $6k for $1. At Churchill, chalky sequence ended with Bret Calhoun firster Walking the Beach going off as the $1.90 favorite. Mike Battaglia had made the Medaglia d'Oro debuter 8-1 in the a.m., and his lines have been increasingly sloppy and off the mark this fall.

Second of the four day fete offers up a very nice Clark Day card at Churchill, the Top Flight at Aqueduct and the opening of the Turf Festival at Hollywood (Gr. I Citation).


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: S/HCP, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Super Slash 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Don'tgetsuspicious 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Hold That Prospect 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #6 Silvercup Baby 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-8) Paid $19.00
$1 Trifecta (9-8-6) Paid $70.75


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Cades Bay 4-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Toocleverforwords 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Boxitup 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Speak Easy Gal 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-1) Paid $35.75
$1 Trifecta (7-1-2) Paid $239.75


9th: 70th Top Flight H. (G2), F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) Sara Louise 6-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Spritely 4-1 6th
Best Value: #5 Cuvee Uncorked 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Justwhistledixie 5-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $4.75
$1 Trifecta (1-8-5) Paid $20.90


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

NOTE: Both ends of the #2e Rodriguez (R. Dutrow) entry SCRATCHED...

Most Likely: #5 Stroll for Acure 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tire Kicker 8-1
Next Best: #1a Dorian Will 4-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Victory March 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-6-8-9
8: 1-5-7
9: 1-6
10: 1-4-5

4x3x2x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (5,9/3,7,11,12/1/1,2,11,12,13,14) Paid $83.25



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: River City H. (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Rahy's Attorney 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Banrock 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Karelian 2-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Cryptolight 50-1 7th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Keefer 8-1 12th
Most Likely: #1 Fitzaslew 9-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Pressure Point 8-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Jet Set Vinny 9-2 4th


11th: Clark H. (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Etched 6-1 13th
Next Best: #14 Einstein 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Timber Reserve 20-1 14th
Super Add: #3 Giant Oak 20-1 4th


12th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Waccamaw 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Omega Cat 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Yolo 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Grassy Nellie 3-1
High 5 Play: #7 Cavan Thunder 10-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

9: 1-4-9-10
10: 1-3-6-7-9-11
11: 8-14
12: 3-4-5

4x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve