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Old 02-20-2010, 05:13 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,546
Default 2/20: GP (5th-11th); Magna 5; FG (6th-11th); OP (Southwest)

ANOTHER BIG WEEKEND:Wonderful afternoon in store for racing fans Saturday as Derby Trail action comes into focus with the Hutcheson, Fountain of Youth, Risen Star, rescheduled Southwest and El Camino Real Derby all on tap. Magna 5 opportunity should be a little more lucrative this week after a tiny payout in the opener, and all stakes P4's at New Orleans and Hallandale have potential to provide fireworks.

A SURE SIGN OF SPRING! The fun Road to the Roses contest starts today, and if you want to jump into a league, feel free to add your stable to the Derby Trail (and ATR) group. Prizes to the Top 5 finishers...

DT/ATR RTTR League
League Name: DerbyTrail.com
League Identifier: 296565368
Activation Code: 3881894580

LLOYDOBLER STRETCHES OUT: Early part of the day will have Dee Tee Stables partners excited as Lloydobler makes his second career start at Aqueduct stretching out to a mile versus a nice group that have faced some well-regarded sophomores. Chucky Lopez rides back in the 2nd half of the opening Big A double, with the wide-blazed Smarty Jones colt the 6-1 fourth choice in the field of 8. Pace will be a key factor for the stalker-closer's potential in the event, as there isn't a clear indication of who in the group will be eager for the lead. Thanks to the partners, Gary Sciacca and Chuck Simon for making it possible, and to Gary's long time assistant Paul Barone and Lloyd's groom Javier who has been with the Sciacca barn nearly 15 years, for their tireless efforts. Here's to a safe trip for Lloyd & CC.


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Rock America 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Big Shot 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Michael Rules 8-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Dreaming Blue 6-1 9th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Scary Good 6-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Unbridled Fury 10-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Cavin Caden 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Farmer Jones 10-1 9th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Dreamed to Dream 15-1 5th
Most Likely: #11 Caminadora 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Charlotte Apples 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Sun Pennies 8-1 3rd


8th: 57th Hutcheson (G2), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

#1 Radiohead a likely SCR per DRF's Mike Welsch on ATR Friday..

Most Likely: #7 D' Funnybone 2-1 WON
Best Value: #2 City Trooper 15-1 5th
Next Best: #8 A Little Warm 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Hear Ye Hear Ye 8-1 4th


9th: 44th Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T @ 72' (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Courageous Cat 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Rahy's Attorney 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Mambo Meister 6-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Jet Propulsion 4-1 4th


10th: 64th Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Will consider protecting #2 Buddy's Saint in Magna 5 and P4 but play against within race. Bruce Levine has lost a lot of NY business (Repole, Moss) bringing this dual G2 winning Derby Trail prospect to FL, so it's hard to believe he doesn't think Saint Liam bay is authentic. Still needs to prove something to me though having bested little and with one turn Nashua his only 'fast' race. Rooting for sake of hard-working Levine; leaning elsewhere with hard-earned money..

Most Likely: #8 Eskendereya (5-1): Sharp in one turn soph bow; Expect top effort.. WON
Next Best: #5 Jackson Bend (5-2): LaPenta buy likely tighter now than in last.. 2nd
Best Value: #1 Aikenite (6-1): Dogwood-Pletcher colt was too close to Holy Bull pace.. 3rd
Super Add: #6 Prince Will I Am (30-1): Nihei striking while hot; 2nd to Drosselmeyer (Risen Star).. 8th


11th: 25th Honey Fox (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Bluegrass Princess 8-1 9th
Most Likely: #13 Quiet Harbor 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Cherokee Queen 8-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Backseat Rhythm 12-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-6-7-8
9: 7-8
10: 1-5-8
11: 2-4-7-8-13

5x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75



MAGNA 5


PRE-SCRATCHES


LEG A-LRL 10th (4:53pm): OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Tidal Change 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Lady in the Money 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Blue Diamond Allie 9-2 4th
Super Add: #9 Halo's Rumble 3-1 WON


LEG B-GP 9th: 44th Canadian Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T @ 72' (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Courageous Cat 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Rahy's Attorney 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Mambo Meister 6-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Jet Propulsion 4-1 4th


LEG C-SA 4th: S/ALW, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Precious Duke 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Forthreeforeuclid 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Good Turn 9-2 6th


LEG D-GP 10th: 64th Fountain of Youth (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Will protect with #2 Buddy's Saint in Magna 5 and P4 but play against within race..

Most Likely: #8 Eskendereya (5-1): Sharp in one turn soph bow; Expect top effort.. WON
Next Best: #5 Jackson Bend (5-2): LaPenta buy likely tighter now than in last.. 2nd
Best Value: #1 Aikenite (6-1): Dogwood-Pletcher colt was too close to Holy Bull pace.. 3rd
Super Add: #6 Prince Will I Am (30-1): Nihei striking while hot; 2nd to Drosselmeyer (Risen Star).. 8th


LEG E-SA 5th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Fyvio 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Fandino 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Face and an Ace 9-2 WON
Super Add: #1 Rock Solid King 8-1 8th


$36-$72-$144 Magna 5 Plays:

A: 1-4-5
B: 7 (8)
C: 4-5
D: 1-5-8
E: 3-8 (1-6)

3x1x2x3x2 = $36
3x2x2x3x2 = $72
3x2x2x3x4 = $144



FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 44th Pan Zareta, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Dubai Majesty 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Coy Cat 9-2 3rd


7th: 23rd Colonel Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Chamberlain Bridge 9-5 WON
Next Best: #5 Grand Traverse 4-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Turfiste 8-1 9th
Super Add: #1e Margolis entry 8-1 4th/8th


8th: 29th Silverbulletday (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1 Quiet Temper 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Bella Medaglia 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Devil May Care 8-5 5th


9th: 23rd Fair Grounds H. (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

DRF's Marcus Hersch indicates Giant Oak is more likely for the main track event..

Best Value: #4 Blues Street 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Acting Zippy 4-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Get Rich Quick 10-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Baltimore Bob 8-1 3rd


10th: 37th Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Discreetly Mine (5-1): Robsham Discreet Cat sib being under-estimated.. WON
Most Likely: #6 Drosselmeyer (4-1): Like WinStar's Eskenderaya, found niche off turf.. 4th
Next Best: #9 Stay Put (8-1): Improving for hot Margolis, but may not get set-up.. 5th
Super Add: #11 Ron the Greek (3-1): Like Stay Put, Lecomte winner may lack pace to chase.. 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-5-9
8: 1-4-5-6-7
9: 4-6
10: 4-6-9

3x5x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45

$.50 Pick 4 (2/4-7-2/4-4) 4 Correct Paid $156.35


11th: 25th Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P3)

Best Value: #4 Stonehouse 12-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Friesan Fire 7-5 4th
Next Best: #6 Good and Lucky 8-1 5th

$1 Pick 3 (4-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $183.80



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


10th: 45th Southwest (G3), 3yo, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Dublin (5-1): Lukas Hopeful winner seems set for return to form.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Cool Bullet (6-1): Wide throughout Lecomte in 2 turn debut.. 8th
Best Value: #10 Mission Impazible (15-1): Redraw hurt; Stalks/goes on stretchout.. 4th
Super Add: #2 Pleasant Storm (8-1): Closing Tap Okie developing; Gets a target.. 7th


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-21-2010 at 06:07 AM.
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