4/15: AQU (3rd; Late P4); KEE (Late P4)

[Kasept]

Fun start to the race week at Aqueduct Wednesday, though I kind of talked myself out of the P4 by reducing core play down to $30 after scratches. Considering the sequence's winners, $208 payout was OK if you incorpopratred the wider suggestions ($90) in the 7th which included Zito's Khalifa. Hope you did well.

The New York stewards, stung by criticism of their easy-way-out handling of Saturday's Comely incident, had their hand in the results of the first and last legs of the quad Wednesday. Taking down Mochachino and putting up Citizen Bailey in the nightcap was an easy call after the inquiry lamp was lit. In the 6th however, the stews appeared ready to accept the initial result until Gary Sciacca (The Vin Man) lodged a trainer's foul claim against Galaxy Express. The review of the tape made it abundantly clear that 7# bug Antonio Lopez, who is a hazard on a regular basis, had dangerously sawed off The Vin Man and Medjool, and came close to creating a chain reaction incident. The win continued Sciacca's hot spring which has seen his barn produce a 26/6-4-4 (23% W; 54% ITM; $2.67 ROI) over the past 30 days.

Aqueduct and Keeneland P4's today!


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Persistently 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 McVictory 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Classofsixtythree 3-1 3rd


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Ruling Decision 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Mind Boggling 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Karakorum Budman 7-2 6th
Super Add: #9 SCR


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Am against #6 Writingonthewall (2-1) here..

Best Value: #4 Dixie Night Out 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Separitist 9-5 7th
Next Best: #2 Smart Enuf 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Diamond District 12-1 6th


8th: CLM, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 May Day Now 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Little Wise Guy 8-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Wadi Suki 8-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Gimmearoutine 4-1 5th


9th: CLM/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #8 Quisom 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Southside Babe 4-1 5th
Exotics: #9 Wonderwho'sbest 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Imthequeenofqueens 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-8
7: 2-4-7
8: 1-4-5-10
9: 3-8

3x3x4x2 = $72



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Home Rule 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Bawaara 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Tiz Stormy Now 4-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Valli With a Vow 10-1 WON


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Interesting group which includes Karelian (G1 Maker's Mark winner last week) brother MINT CHIP and Tizaqueena half BRAVE PROSPECT..

Most Likely: #6 Mint Chip 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Slammy Boy 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Letsgetitonmon 4-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Pointman Talkin 10-1 7th


8th: Appalachian (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Rose Catherine 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bay to Bay 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Orchestrator 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Cactus Cadillac 20-1 8th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #8 Sparkle of Light 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Harlan's Princess 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Sheza Heartbreaker 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Academy Allie 4-1 6th
High 5 Play: #12 Jazz Dancer 15-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-7-10-11-12
7: 2-3-4-6-8
8: 1-3-5
9: 3-8

5x5x3x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve