5/13: Belmont ($23k C/O); Churchill (Late P4)

[Kasept]

Some solid opinions of the late action at Belmont Wednesday, but nothing I was thinking was going to land the enormous quad which brought back more than $9,000 ($1). Jimmy Wright's tough to use Kingsdale Ocean wired the nightcap with strong handling from Jorgie Chavez who got his first tally of the meet with the effort. Earlier prices in the 4th and 5th had already set up a carryover, so today's P6 starts out with $23k in the kitty. Very good pair of ALW's inside the late P4 at Churchill today as well. Hope you did OK yesterday and are getting excited about The Susie-Preakness action. Steve Crist, Steve Haskin, Rich Eng, Tony Black, Nick Tammaro, Brian Spencer, Jeff Siegel and/or Laffit Pincay III all on 'ATR' today!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Am curious at what point the Rudy Rodriguez magic begins to fade... or is stymied? Imagine having all this training talent to win at 48% and wasting all that time riding..

Best Value: #7 Smile of Success 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 Timber Cruise 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Unstoppable 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Metulla 8-1 WON


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Not that enamored with .50 on the dollar Biz Jet who didn't return to the worktab for more than three weeks after the nice fig Gulfstream MDN-breaker. Horse behind her that day ran 72 BSF next out, and only Will Phipps' 6th place runner (Doe Run; #1a-AE in 8th today) has returned to win (1m-T MSW at Tampa-73 BSF). The horses Biz Jet faced in her debut (2nd) have turned out to be nothing special either with just Diosa Indian winning from that heat, (a 65 Beyer performance wiring slugs at DEL). The single everyone will use and the most likely winner, but will you be surprised if she faulters?

Most Likely: #6 Biz Jet 1-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Hot Trip 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Cape Cod Carrie 6-1 5th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Distant Strike 3-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Key Victory 5-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Live On the Edge 7-2
Super Add: #4 Actor's Groove 20-1 2nd


7th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Hangingonaprayer 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Southside Babe 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #3 Eightyfive S 8-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Protesting 5-2 WON
Next Best: #6 Vee 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Rhys 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Mehndi 12-1


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Yeesh.. Some way to end the multis. Bad bunch of coconuts..

Best Value: #4 Hear Her Roar 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Alwaysinmydreams 4-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Conseated Lady 5-2 9th
Super Add: #1 Charmed 6-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-4-5-7
5: 6
6: 5-8-9
7: 5-9
8: 6-7
9: 4-10

4x1x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-8-9
7: 3-5-9
8: 3-6-7
9: 4-10

4x3x3x2 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Warshaw 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Big in Argentina 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Mayor Tom 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Be Rich 10-1 3rd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #10 La Gran Bailadora 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Snow Top Mountain 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Maestro Miss 5-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Duomo 6-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Land of the Giants 5-2 5th
Best Value: #6 Zion 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Headache 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Baryshnikov 12-1 7th


9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Forest Lord 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Home of the Gold 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Betatron 6-1
Super Add: #10 G Areyoukidding 5-1 WON



<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-8-9
7: 3-6-10
8: 3-6-7-8
9: 1-2-7

4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve