8/5: Saratoga (Day 12-$100k P6 Guarantee)

[Kasept]

Computer issues hamstrung me this morning for more than 2 hours, so little time available to recap/preview. Wednesday turned out to be a humdrum day of racing, but stiffling heat and humidity may have been as responsible for that as chalky results. Lost $40 on a winning P4 early, and didn't like Runweiser who upset the 6th and KO'd the late quad. Had some modest bingos along the way and hope you did OK... There is a guaranteed $100k P6 at the Spa today on a very difficult series, as well as a $118k Carryover at Del Mar!


NOTE: Heavy rain appears headed for the area. Stay tuned as to track conditions with the number of grass races scheduled in the P6 Carryover...

4th and 6th taken OFF THE TURF after early P4 started. 4th race selections get ALL...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Skylord 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #5 Gangsterontherun 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Saucy Stash 5-2 5th


3rd: John Morrissey-NY, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Driven by Success 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Legal Consent 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Endless Circle 5-1 WON ($9.40)


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ezzy 10-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #9 Delano 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #1 Capt. Obvious 6-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Nice collection of well meant babies including halves to Winslow Homer (Elusive Raven) and Hot Dixie Chick (Simply Delightful)..

Most Likely: #5 Elusive Raven 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Simply Delightful 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Cedar Grove 6-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Deja Blu 12-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5
3: 2
4: 1-3-4-9 (Becomes an ALL when off turf)
5: 3-4-5-7

3x1x4x4 = $48


6th: MSW, 3+, 11f OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: SCR
Best Value: SCR
Next Best: #9 Macedonian 3rd
Super Add: #5 Ryvit 6-1 5th


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Dreadful bunch..

Most Likely: #2 Trust of Honor 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #5 Mr. Hadif 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Starr West 3-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Scotchirish 8-1 2nd


8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

No Inflation now loose on the lead with Brother Nick out..

Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #5 Lemon Spice 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Rogue Victory 8-1 WON ($10.00)
Super Add: #6 Skipadate 10-1 3rd


9th: Latham, 3yo, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Dazzled Saint 6-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Don't Say No 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Bridgetown 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #9 Enumerate 8-1 6th


10th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #2 Hey Babe 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Settling Seas 5-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #8 Unique Citizen 12-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Ambidaxtrous 9-2 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

Guaranteed $100k P6 pool..

5: 3-5-7
6: 9
7: 1-2-5-8-9
8: 5-8
9: 1
10: 2-4

3x1x5x2x1x2 = 60 x $2 = $120


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-8-9
8: 5-8
9: 1
10: 2-4-5-8-10

5x2x1x5 = $50


Good luck!
Steve