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Old 09-18-2010, 06:19 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 9/18: Belmont Park (1st-10th); Stakes Spot Plays

BELMONT PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Terrific way to start off a fun Saturday card..

Best Value: #3 Gallant Fields 10-1: Overlay; MDN-breaker this oval impressed.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Day of Destiny 3-1: As usual, handled gingerly by Brown.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Cravin Caden 5-1: Put it together at Spa last; Danger on repeat.. 3rd
Super Add: #9 Two Brash 12-1: Another better suited around one turn.. 4th

.10 SUPER: 1-3-6 with 1-3-6-9 with 1-3-6-9 with All (3x3x2x6 = 108 x .10 = $10.80)


2nd: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Gerard Loves Beer 7-5: Named by Repole after his brother! 2nd
Best Value: #8 Treasure Trunk 5-1: Drops down; Cuts back; Turf to dirt; The triple whammy.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Here Comes Vinny 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Super Add: #3 Mount Karakorum 8-1 3rd

.10 SUPER: 7-8 with 1-3-7-8 with 1-3-7-8 with All (2x3x2x6 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Legend of Navarone 3-1 4th
Best Value: #9 Le Docteur Plunket 8-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Banned 9-2 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #7 Brilliant Speed 8-1 3rd


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

There is absolutely nothing special to distinguish favored (#2) Wise Stop..

Most Likely: #5 Fight for VLT's 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Won Great Classic 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Roderick 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Wise Stop 8-5 WON ($4.40)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Pretty serious group of 2yo's without much to go on but works and pedigree. Spread if possible..

Most Likely: #4 Casanova Giant 7-2: Half to Yonaguska & Halo Homewrecker.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Gallant Dreams 6-1: Out of the nice stakes filly Dreams Galore 6th
Next Best: #5 Justin Phillip 5-2: Advantage of start, but just OK in that bow.. WON ($4.60)
Super Add: #1 Wonway Street 12-1: Hills under radar with rubes; Dam was wonderful Toll Taker.. 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-7-8
3: 5-6-7-9
4: 5-7
5: 4-5-6

3x4x2x3 = $72


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #
Best Value: #
Next Best: #
Super Add: #


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Brothers in Arms 7-2 WON ($6.30)
Best Value: #5 Dominus 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Joe Vann 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Same Old Wish 10-1 7th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Siete Machos 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #1 John Wyatt 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Pegasus Ena 30-1 6th
Super Add: #5 SCR


9th: 32nd Garden City (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Queen of the Creek 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 SCR
Next Best: #1 Check the Label 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #6 Negligee 6-1 6th


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 College Grad 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Academy Run 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Winning Token 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-9-10
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 1-4-5/SCR
10: 7-8

3x4x2x2 = $48

$2 Pick 4 (9-3-1-8) 4 Correct Paid $51.25



WOODBINE


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: 58th Summer (G3), 2yo-F, 1m-T

Best Value: #1 Rockin Heat 10-1: (2nd at 10-1) The right price horse to use with the obvious plays, #4 Pluck (2-1) WON, #8 Forum (3-1) 6th and #5 Stormy Rush (5-2) 3rd..

$1 Exactaor(1-4) Paid $27.27
$1 Triactor (1-4-5) Paid $102.30




CHARLES TOWN


PRE-SCRATCHES


<$50 All Stakes P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5-8
8: 3-8/SCR
9: 3-4
10: 3-4-6

4x1x2x3 = $24


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-19-2010 at 05:16 AM.
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