12/11: Aqueduct, Calder, Remington (P4's); My Charmer, Starlet

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Considering the price tags, this is a very competitive race with a number of solid and in form (such as it is) runners..

Most Likely: #7 Late SCR -- P4 play gets post time favorite 11
Best Value: #8 Conflicted 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Idol Image 6-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Payout 4-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed on ATR Friday with Nick Tammaro, this heat has almost no easy cross-outs, and favored pair inside appear no better than the next 5-6 choices..

Best Value: #6 Slevin 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 E Knows Why 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Keep Me Informed 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Gunfighter 8-1 5th


8th: 105th Queen's County (G3), 3+, 9.5f (DD)

Excluding Pedrolino, a group within a small handful of lengths of each other. Very little pace in here going the Preakness trip, and pesky Senior's Pride may be tough to reel in late if allowed to loaf up front. Very curious edition of this century-old standard, and I'll try to create value with the 4 & 5..

Best Value: #4 Seniors Pride 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Arson Squad 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 More Than a Reason 15-1 WON ($40.20)


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Uggh. This is some bad bunch o' coconuts..

Most Likely: #8 Gotta Go Round 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Elsie's Warrior 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Jello Shot 7-2 WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #9 Goldenstatewarrior 10-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-8 (Late SCR gets 11 added)
7: 1-6-9
8: 1-4
9: 8-9-10-11

3x3x2x4 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Chon 4-1 8th
Best Value: #9 Flying Approval 8-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #6 Peaceadaaction 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Special Song 10-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hannah's Princess 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Miss Olivia Rae 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Marquet Madness 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Crazy Catlady 6-1 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hugh and Me 5-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Gold for Cash 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Dual Exhauzt 6-1 WON ($13.60)


10th: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Almuraad 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Exchanging Kisses 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Little Mike 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 10-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6-9
8: 1-3-5-7
9: 4-7-8
10: 4-5-6

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


11th: 27th Fred W. Hooper H. (G3), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Mambo Meister 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Imperial Council 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 St. Maximus Gato 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Chirac 3-1 4th



TURFWAY PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 31st My Charmer, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Miss Blakely 4-1 11th
Best Value: #10 Haka 8-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Kiss Mine 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #11 My Baby Baby 4-1 3rd



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 30th Hollywood Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Turbulent Descent 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Zazu 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Tell a Kelly 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 May Day Rose 7-2 4th



REMINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Gray Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Jazzin Okie 5-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Texas Tempest 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Dilly Whopper 12-1 9th


9th: OK-End of the Trail, 3yo, 7f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Vertical Vision 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Hollywood Ice 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #4 S C King of Hearts 20-1 9th


10th: Springboard Mile, 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Relatively unknown late season juvy route has lured some interesting players..

Most Likely: #7 Caleb's Posse 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Rampaige 8-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Chipshot 9-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Twinspired 5-1 8th


11th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (Super)

Nearly impossible to seperate this group. Brutally tough anchor to the P4..

Best Value: #6 Glenbeigh 9-2 10th
Next Best: #11 Our Sacred Honor 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Berlioz 15-1 12th
Super Add: #4 No Walkin' Joe 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-11
9: 2-4-5
10: 1-7
11: 4-5-6-11

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve