Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 12-15-2010, 05:13 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 12/15: Aqueduct (1st-9th)

Couldn't get the 6 winners on one ticket Sunday in the shockingly paultry $880 sextet, but rang up steady sequence of exotics hits including two $110+ triples that helped level out the weekend nicely. While third choice for me in the eighth race, Speightful Affair was simply not a horse worth including on multis as she was very unlikely to win. She did, and it killed the P4 and a chance for a P6 conso... So be it. You're always going to be better off long term trying to get worthwhile overlays into your P3's, P4's and P6's than underlays. I had piled up some nice hits earlier on the card, so missing the small prizes wasn't too exasperating. Hope you did well Sunday after the lousy Saturday. Not necessarily a scintillating card at Aqueduct to start the week, but there are some interesting spots...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 New York Style 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Stealth Missle 6-5 WON ($3.50)
Exotics Use: #6 Copper Cascade 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Marina Market 20-1 2nd


2nd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Cohen double named on the Repole entry. If it's #1 Dr. W that goes. he's a 100% play-against. #1a Calibrachoa isn't necessarily lovable either, but is more encouraging as a short number include..

Best Value: #6 Peter's Creek 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Cavallo Pazzo 5-2 3rd


3rd: Cosmic Bob, 3yo, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Goombada Guska 8-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #3 Monsignor 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 No Shenanigans 7-2 2nd


4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-f, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Summer Flick 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Freud's Dream 5-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Tapitude 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Thunder Princess 7-2 2nd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Both the first and second choices here (#'s 5 & 6) have reasons to regress..

Best Value: #4 Justkeepitsimple 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Why Then 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Amply Rewarded 3-1 WON ($5.30)


<$75 P4 Play::

2: 1-4-6
3: 3-5
4: 1-3-4-7
5: 3-4-5

3x2x4x3 = $72


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Indian Lilly 4-1 5th
Next Best: #7 For Real Too 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 J C's Queen 20-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Tough Market 15-1 WON ($22.40)


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Diamond District 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Dantastic 5-2 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Three in the Bag 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Four Shore 5-1 6th


8th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Speightful Kiss 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Brahman 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Hardshell 9-2 3rd


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Has the look and feel of a chaotic race..

Best Value: #3 Candy Heart 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Real Rooster 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 All My Chips 5-2 7th
Super Add: #5 Bruce Alley 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-10
7: 2-3-6
8: 7
9: 3-4-5-8-9-10

4x3x1x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 12-15-2010 at 04:37 PM.
Reply With Quote
 



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:04 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.