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Old 01-24-2011, 09:53 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default Churchill Fall Meet

Taking a cue from Golfer to start using this room more, I think I saw something in the fall meet at Churchill, that if true can be a very profitable angle. In my opinion the inside part of the turf course was NOT the place to as the meet wore on, especially the last 10 days.

I think horses that spent a good part of the race on the rail, especially in the stretch were at a disadvantage. Last week seeing this led me to Zapparition (posted in selections room) who paid $21.60 to win. I'm going to start posting horses that I notice fit this profile and if anyone sees one I have missed please post them.

This Thursday a horse fits the profile in race 4. Bergerac dueled inside the eventual winner, was on the rail the entire stretch and weakened to finish 4th. The winner was freaky good that day and no one was beating him. But I think Bergerac could have been 2nd had he not been inside. It's a tough race, but I'll be betting Bergerac.
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