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Aqueduct, Thursday/Friday (2/10-11)
Race 3-
Major speed bias today at the Big A. 7/9 horses went wire to wire, the other 2 were close to the pace and those 2 were both heavy favorites. Of the 7 wire to wire winners they definitley were not all obvious horses. Huge Huge speed bias. Fastus Cactus is a total nut who has issues running straight, but he is the inside speed in this spot and should be a square price. There are a few horses in this spot that should be bet keeping FC price square. The 6 has speed and goes blinkers on for Rudy, but he also seems to have trouble at the start of his races. His last 2 comment lines are bumped break and stumbled badly at the start. Ramons horse is a solid favorite but he might be around 4-5. Ramon is patient, Im thinking he will attempt to sit off the 3 and 6. Im playing the race with the opinion Cohen guns the 3 and even if the 6 breaks he is simply faster. FC has a few back races that are fast enough to win this race, and even though I think Ramons horse is a solid favorite he is far from unbeatable with the way the track played today. Looking at a $50 win/place type of bet on this horse. |