Derby Trail Next Start-Likely/Possible

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Scav

I'll disagree with you completely on this. IMO he was slow as a 2 year old, but his return race was very good while wide the entire race and they are using the Blue Grass as a final tightner, ala Street Sense and he will run a big race in the Derby. 6pt top (TG) in his return race signals a very healthy horse (maybe almost too healthy) and if he pairs that in the Blue Grass he will be a great bet in the Derby.

All that and because I keyed him up and down in Future pool exactas.

You also liked Kathmanblu.

I hate to tell you, but TG figs don't tell the whole story, and they omit his candy trip, as far as dynamics are concerned, in the Risen Star. Sometimes wide is not only not so bad, sometimes it's actually good, except for people that blindly follow sheet numbers. But, then again, you can take solace in knowing there's always " bounce " as a further excuse.

I prefer slow....but maybe that's only because I don't want to lose money on him. However, if there is an early pool on the Secretariat I might be inclined to take a little 25:1.

Then again, he was a Trips&Traps horse after his debut.